China Yuchai International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.29
| CYD Stock | USD 9.41 0.26 2.84% |
China |
China Yuchai Target Price Odds to finish over 11.29
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.29 or more in 90 days |
| 9.41 | 90 days | 11.29 | about 55.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Yuchai to move over $ 11.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 55.3 (This China Yuchai International probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Yuchai Interna price to stay between its current price of $ 9.41 and $ 11.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.97 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon China Yuchai International has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Yuchai are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Yuchai International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Yuchai International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. China Yuchai Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Yuchai
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Yuchai Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Yuchai's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Yuchai Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Yuchai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Yuchai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Yuchai International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Yuchai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
China Yuchai Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Yuchai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Yuchai Interna can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Yuchai Interna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: China Yuchai International Limited Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 26 |
China Yuchai Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Yuchai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Yuchai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 B |
China Yuchai Technical Analysis
China Yuchai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Yuchai International. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Yuchai Predictive Forecast Models
China Yuchai's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Yuchai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Yuchai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Yuchai Interna
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Yuchai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Yuchai Interna help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Yuchai Interna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: China Yuchai International Limited Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 26 |
Check out China Yuchai Backtesting, China Yuchai Valuation, China Yuchai Correlation, China Yuchai Hype Analysis, China Yuchai Volatility, China Yuchai History as well as China Yuchai Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of China Yuchai. If investors know China will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about China Yuchai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.347 | Earnings Share 1.17 | Revenue Per Share 469.471 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 | Return On Assets 0.0095 |
The market value of China Yuchai Interna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of China that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of China Yuchai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is China Yuchai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because China Yuchai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect China Yuchai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between China Yuchai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Yuchai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Yuchai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.