Esquire Financial Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 52.72
| ESQ Stock | USD 77.69 0.81 1.03% |
Esquire |
Esquire Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 52.72
The tendency of Esquire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 52.72 in 90 days |
| 77.69 | 90 days | 52.72 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Esquire Financial to stay above $ 52.72 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Esquire Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Esquire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Esquire Financial price to stay between $ 52.72 and its current price of $77.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.61 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Esquire Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Esquire Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.2164, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Esquire Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Esquire Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Esquire Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Esquire Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Esquire Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Esquire Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Esquire Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Esquire Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Esquire Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Esquire Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Esquire Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Esquire Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Esquire Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Esquire Financial Holdings Inc Shares Up 3.44 percent on Nov 27 |
Esquire Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Esquire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Esquire Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Esquire Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 287.3 M |
Esquire Financial Technical Analysis
Esquire Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Esquire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Esquire Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Esquire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Esquire Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Esquire Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Esquire Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Esquire Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Esquire Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Esquire Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Esquire Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Esquire Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Esquire Financial Holdings Inc Shares Up 3.44 percent on Nov 27 |
Additional Tools for Esquire Stock Analysis
When running Esquire Financial's price analysis, check to measure Esquire Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esquire Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Esquire Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esquire Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esquire Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esquire Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.