Esquire Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ESQ Stock  USD 105.08  4.27  3.90%   
Esquire Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Esquire Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Esquire Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Esquire Financial fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Esquire Financial's share price is at 51 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Esquire Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Esquire Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Esquire Financial Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Esquire Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.136
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5167
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.38
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.925
Wall Street Target Price
120.5
Using Esquire Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Esquire Financial Holdings from the perspective of Esquire Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Esquire Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 110.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 126.91.

Esquire Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 105.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Esquire Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Esquire Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Esquire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Esquire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Esquire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Esquire Financial price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Esquire Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Esquire Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 110.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08, mean absolute percentage error of 6.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 126.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Esquire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Esquire Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Esquire Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Esquire Financial  Esquire Financial Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Esquire Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Esquire Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Esquire Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 108.48 and 111.88, respectively. We have considered Esquire Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
105.08
108.48
Downside
110.18
Expected Value
111.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Esquire Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Esquire Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9144
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0805
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors126.9101
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Esquire Financial Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Esquire Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Esquire Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Esquire Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.80105.43120.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.42112.53114.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
101.23106.34111.46
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
109.66120.50133.76
Details

Esquire Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Esquire Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Esquire Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Esquire Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Esquire Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Esquire Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Esquire Financial's historical news coverage. Esquire Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 103.80 and 120.29, respectively. We have considered Esquire Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
105.08
103.80
Downside
105.43
After-hype Price
120.29
Upside
Esquire Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Esquire Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Esquire Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Esquire Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Esquire Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Esquire Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.70
  0.13 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
105.08
105.43
3.58 
293.10  
Notes

Esquire Financial Hype Timeline

On the 28th of January Esquire Financial is traded for 105.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Esquire is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 105.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -3.58%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Esquire Financial is about 3269.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 105.09. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Esquire Financial was currently reported as 35.73. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.87. Esquire Financial last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Esquire Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Esquire Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Esquire Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Esquire Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Esquire Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Esquire Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HAFCHanmi Financial(0.26)7 per month 0.96  0.1  3.23 (1.92) 12.14 
AMALAmalgamated Bank(0.16)9 per month 1.07  0.24  3.60 (2.09) 8.06 
CFFNCapitol Federal Financial 0.03 8 per month 1.44  0.05  2.80 (2.44) 8.42 
SBSISouthside Bancshares 0.07 8 per month 0.93  0.12  2.73 (1.57) 8.89 
HFWAHeritage Financial 0.18 8 per month 1.57  0.07  4.71 (3.38) 12.70 
MOFGMidWestOne Financial Group 0.56 7 per month 1.11  0.15  3.39 (2.70) 43.86 
CPFCentral Pacific Financial(0.19)7 per month 1.73  0.05  2.86 (2.19) 9.76 
FSBCFive Star Bancorp 0.47 9 per month 1.37  0.05  3.59 (2.50) 10.05 
DCOMDime Community Bancshares(0.32)7 per month 1.87  0.05  3.51 (3.10) 11.73 
FMBHFirst Mid Illinois 0.14 9 per month 1.20  0.1  3.31 (2.58) 9.25 

Other Forecasting Options for Esquire Financial

For every potential investor in Esquire, whether a beginner or expert, Esquire Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Esquire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Esquire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Esquire Financial's price trends.

Esquire Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Esquire Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Esquire Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Esquire Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Esquire Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Esquire Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Esquire Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Esquire Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Esquire Financial Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Esquire Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Esquire Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Esquire Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting esquire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Esquire Financial

The number of cover stories for Esquire Financial depends on current market conditions and Esquire Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Esquire Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Esquire Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Additional Tools for Esquire Stock Analysis

When running Esquire Financial's price analysis, check to measure Esquire Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esquire Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Esquire Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esquire Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esquire Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esquire Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.