Lennar Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 185.4
| LEN Stock | USD 168.07 0.16 0.1% |
Lennar |
Lennar Target Price Odds to finish below 185.4
The tendency of Lennar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 185.40 after 90 days |
| 168.07 | 90 days | 185.40 | about 84.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lennar to stay under $ 185.40 after 90 days from now is about 84.27 (This Lennar probability density function shows the probability of Lennar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lennar price to stay between its current price of $ 168.07 and $ 185.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.71 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Lennar has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lennar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lennar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lennar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lennar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lennar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lennar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lennar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lennar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lennar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lennar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lennar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lennar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Lennar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lennar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lennar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lennar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Lennar paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Lennar has 22 acres in Miami-Dade under contract |
Lennar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lennar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lennar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lennar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 283.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.3 B |
Lennar Technical Analysis
Lennar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lennar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lennar. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lennar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lennar Predictive Forecast Models
Lennar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lennar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lennar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lennar
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lennar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lennar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lennar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Lennar paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Lennar has 22 acres in Miami-Dade under contract |
Check out Lennar Backtesting, Lennar Valuation, Lennar Correlation, Lennar Hype Analysis, Lennar Volatility, Lennar History as well as Lennar Performance. To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lennar. If investors know Lennar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lennar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.101 | Dividend Share 1.875 | Earnings Share 15.04 | Revenue Per Share 132.561 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.079 |
The market value of Lennar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lennar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lennar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lennar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lennar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lennar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lennar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lennar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lennar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.