Synchrony Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.39
| SYF Stock | USD 64.40 0.75 1.18% |
Synchrony |
Synchrony Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 36.39
The tendency of Synchrony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 36.39 in 90 days |
| 64.40 | 90 days | 36.39 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Synchrony Financial to stay above $ 36.39 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Synchrony Financial probability density function shows the probability of Synchrony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Synchrony Financial price to stay between $ 36.39 and its current price of $64.4 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Synchrony Financial has a beta of -0.14. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Synchrony Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Synchrony Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Synchrony Financial has an alpha of 0.5266, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Synchrony Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Synchrony Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synchrony Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Synchrony Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Synchrony Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Synchrony Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Synchrony Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Synchrony Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Synchrony Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Synchrony Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Synchrony Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Synchrony Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Synchrony Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Synchrony Financial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Amy Tiliakos of tradable shares of Synchrony Financial at 64.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Synchrony Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Synchrony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Synchrony Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synchrony Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 406.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.3 B |
Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis
Synchrony Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Synchrony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Synchrony Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Synchrony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Synchrony Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Synchrony Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Synchrony Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Synchrony Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Synchrony Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Synchrony Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Synchrony Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Synchrony Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Synchrony Financial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Amy Tiliakos of tradable shares of Synchrony Financial at 64.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Synchrony Financial Backtesting, Synchrony Financial Valuation, Synchrony Financial Correlation, Synchrony Financial Hype Analysis, Synchrony Financial Volatility, Synchrony Financial History as well as Synchrony Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Synchrony Stock please use our How to Invest in Synchrony Financial guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Synchrony Financial. If investors know Synchrony will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Synchrony Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.311 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 7.7 | Revenue Per Share 22.405 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.116 |
The market value of Synchrony Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Synchrony that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Synchrony Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Synchrony Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Synchrony Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Synchrony Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synchrony Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Synchrony Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Synchrony Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.