Caterpillar Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| CAT Stock | USD 626.62 21.79 3.36% |
Caterpillar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Caterpillar's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Caterpillar, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.3413 | EPS Estimate Current Year 18.7005 | EPS Estimate Next Year 22.5459 | Wall Street Target Price 623.9904 |
Using Caterpillar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caterpillar from the perspective of Caterpillar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Caterpillar using Caterpillar's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Caterpillar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Caterpillar's stock price.
Caterpillar Short Interest
An investor who is long Caterpillar may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Caterpillar and may potentially protect profits, hedge Caterpillar with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 457.1365 | Short Percent 0.012 | Short Ratio 2.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.5 M | 50 Day MA 591.9674 |
Caterpillar Relative Strength Index
Caterpillar Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Caterpillar's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Caterpillar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Caterpillar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Caterpillar. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Caterpillar's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Caterpillar.
Caterpillar Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Caterpillar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Caterpillar stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Caterpillar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Caterpillar stock will not fluctuate a lot when Caterpillar's options are near their expiration.
Caterpillar after-hype prediction price | USD 630.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Caterpillar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Caterpillar will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Caterpillar trading at USD 626.62, that is roughly USD 0.15 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Caterpillar's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Caterpillar options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Caterpillar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Caterpillar's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Caterpillar's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Caterpillar stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Caterpillar's open interest, investors have to compare it to Caterpillar's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Caterpillar is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Caterpillar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Caterpillar Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caterpillar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caterpillar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caterpillar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (19.31) | (19.31) |
| Check Caterpillar Volatility | Backtest Caterpillar | Information Ratio |
Caterpillar Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 Caterpillar was traded for 626.62 at the closing time. Highest Caterpillar's price during the trading hours was 646.50 and the lowest price during the day was 623.57 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 26th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 3.48% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Caterpillar to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Caterpillar
For every potential investor in Caterpillar, whether a beginner or expert, Caterpillar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Caterpillar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Caterpillar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Caterpillar's price trends.Caterpillar Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Caterpillar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Caterpillar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caterpillar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Caterpillar Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Caterpillar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Caterpillar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Caterpillar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Caterpillar entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0355 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.95) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 635.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 632.23 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 22.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (19.31) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (21.79) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.88 |
Caterpillar Risk Indicators
The analysis of Caterpillar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caterpillar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caterpillar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Variance | 5.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Caterpillar
The number of cover stories for Caterpillar depends on current market conditions and Caterpillar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caterpillar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caterpillar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Caterpillar Short Properties
Caterpillar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caterpillar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caterpillar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caterpillar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caterpillar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 489.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 B |
Additional Tools for Caterpillar Stock Analysis
When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.