Fuelcell Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FCEL Stock  USD 7.92  0.34  4.12%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding FuelCell Energy is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of FuelCell Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out FuelCell Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy FuelCell Stock please use our How to buy in FuelCell Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FuelCell and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. FuelCell Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute FuelCell Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The FuelCell recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FuelCell Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FuelCell Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FuelCell Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FuelCell EnergyBuy FuelCell Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very WeakDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon FuelCell Energy has a Mean Deviation of 5.15, Standard Deviation of 7.46 and Variance of 55.72
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on FuelCell Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure FuelCell Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all FuelCell Energy fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that FuelCell Energy has a price to earning of (1.42) X, we urge you to verify FuelCell Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

FuelCell Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

FuelCell Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FuelCell Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FuelCell Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
FuelCell Energyhas  131,066,112  shares shorted by FuelCell Energy investors is about 600% of outstending shares
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 123.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (108.06 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.16 M).
FuelCell Energy currently holds about 456.48 M in cash with (140.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13.
FuelCell Energy has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: BPs JV With EnBW to Remain Unaffected Amid Renewables Scale-Down

FuelCell Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FuelCell Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FuelCell Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FuelCell Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FuelCell Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FuelCell Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FuelCell Energy.
Mean Return
-0.36
Value At Risk
-12.13
Potential Upside
11.61
Standard Deviation
7.46
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FuelCell Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FuelCell Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
4.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
3.8 M
Barclays Plc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
2.6 M
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
M
Zurcher Kantonalbank2024-06-30
1.9 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
1.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
34.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
33.3 M
Note, although FuelCell Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

FuelCell Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.1M)(18.8M)(28.1M)4.7M4.2M4.4M
Change In Cash152.3M268.2M20.8M(181.5M)(208.7M)(198.3M)
Free Cash Flow(68.7M)(143.7M)(158.8M)(232.6M)(209.4M)(198.9M)
Depreciation19.4M19.9M21.3M25.4M29.2M30.6M
Other Non Cash Items8.2M6.7M8.5M3.9M4.5M3.2M
Capital Expenditures31.9M73.2M46.7M92.4M106.2M111.5M
Net Income(89.1M)(101.0M)(147.2M)(108.1M)(97.3M)(92.4M)
End Period Cash Flow192.1M460.2M481.0M299.6M344.5M361.7M
Dividends Paid4.2M1.8M6.5M3.2M2.9M3.8M
Change Receivables4.8M(6.3M)(5.2M)9.2M10.6M11.1M
Net Borrowings54.9M(92.8M)(9.5M)61.7M55.5M58.3M
Change To Netincome45.7M36.4M13.4M(5.1M)(5.8M)(5.5M)
Investments(32.5M)(73.2M)(46.7M)(192.4M)(173.1M)(164.5M)

FuelCell Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FuelCell Energy or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FuelCell Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FuelCell stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
7.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

FuelCell Energy Volatility Alert

FuelCell Energy is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FuelCell Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FuelCell Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

FuelCell Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FuelCell Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FuelCell Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FuelCell Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FuelCell Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FuelCell Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FuelCell Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FuelCell Energy to competition
FundamentalsFuelCell EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.19-0.31
Return On Asset-0.1-0.14
Profit Margin(1.35) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.42) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation103.31 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding20.38 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.26 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions31.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted131.07 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(1.42) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.97 X11.42 X
Revenue123.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(8.16 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(74.85 M)3.9 B
Net Income(108.06 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents456.48 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.13 X5.01 X
Total Debt139.25 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.13 %48.70 %
Current Ratio7.20 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share36.60 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(140.25 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio5.80 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(7.80) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.12) X4.89 X
Target Price29.58
Number Of Employees59118.84 K
Beta3.89-0.15
Market Capitalization168.31 M19.03 B
Total Asset955.52 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.52 B)9.33 B
Working Capital410.41 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 43709 shares by Mark Feasel of FuelCell Energy at 1.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

FuelCell Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FuelCell . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About FuelCell Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FuelCell Energy? Buying financial instruments such as FuelCell Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having FuelCell Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether FuelCell Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze FuelCell Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FuelCell Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FuelCell Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FuelCell Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy FuelCell Stock please use our How to buy in FuelCell Stock guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FuelCell Energy. If investors know FuelCell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FuelCell Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(7.80)
Revenue Per Share
5.504
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.10)
Return On Equity
(0.19)
The market value of FuelCell Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FuelCell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FuelCell Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FuelCell Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FuelCell Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FuelCell Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FuelCell Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FuelCell Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FuelCell Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.