Fuelcell Energy Stock Performance

FCEL Stock  USD 7.22  0.21  3.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, FuelCell Energy holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.15, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, FuelCell Energy will likely underperform. Please check FuelCell Energy's information ratio, downside variance, day median price, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether FuelCell Energy's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FuelCell Energy are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile technical and fundamental indicators, FuelCell Energy disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3
Five Day Return
9.23
Year To Date Return
(11.63)
Ten Year Return
(99.60)
All Time Return
(99.89)
Last Split Factor
1:30
Dividend Date
2019-05-09
Last Split Date
2024-11-11
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Begin Period Cash Flow160.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities88.9 M

FuelCell Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  658.00  in FuelCell Energy on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  64.00  from holding FuelCell Energy or generate 9.73% return on investment over 90 days. FuelCell Energy is currently generating 0.3508% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.4142% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 57% of stocks are less volatile than FuelCell, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FuelCell Energy is expected to generate 8.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

FuelCell Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FuelCell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.22 90 days 7.22 
about 72.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FuelCell Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.78 (This FuelCell Energy probability density function shows the probability of FuelCell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.15 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FuelCell Energy will likely underperform. Additionally FuelCell Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FuelCell Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FuelCell Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FuelCell Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FuelCell Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.947.3513.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.177.5813.99
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.928.719.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.69-0.68-0.67
Details

FuelCell Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FuelCell Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FuelCell Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FuelCell Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FuelCell Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

FuelCell Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FuelCell Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FuelCell Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FuelCell Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 158.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (191.1 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.41 M).
FuelCell Energy currently holds about 456.48 M in cash with (125.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13.
FuelCell Energy has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: TC Energy Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

FuelCell Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FuelCell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FuelCell Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FuelCell Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments294.7 M

FuelCell Energy Fundamentals Growth

FuelCell Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FuelCell Energy, and FuelCell Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FuelCell Stock performance.

About FuelCell Energy Performance

By examining FuelCell Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into FuelCell Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that FuelCell Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 153.41  103.75 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.23)(0.24)
Return On Capital Employed(0.16)(0.17)
Return On Assets(0.23)(0.24)
Return On Equity(0.30)(0.31)

Things to note about FuelCell Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FuelCell Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FuelCell Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FuelCell Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 158.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (191.1 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.41 M).
FuelCell Energy currently holds about 456.48 M in cash with (125.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13.
FuelCell Energy has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: TC Energy Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Evaluating FuelCell Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate FuelCell Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing FuelCell Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FuelCell Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining FuelCell Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating FuelCell Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FuelCell Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FuelCell Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into FuelCell Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating FuelCell Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact FuelCell Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether FuelCell Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze FuelCell Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FuelCell Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FuelCell Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in FuelCell Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in discontinued.
For more information on how to buy FuelCell Stock please use our How to buy in FuelCell Stock guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FuelCell Energy. Market participants price FuelCell higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive FuelCell Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(7.42)
Revenue Per Share
6.144
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.115
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.26)
Investors evaluate FuelCell Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating FuelCell Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause FuelCell Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FuelCell Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FuelCell Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, FuelCell Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.