FuelCell Energy Valuation

FCEL Stock  USD 7.92  0.34  4.12%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. FuelCell Energy shows a prevailing Real Value of $4.78 per share. The current price of the firm is $7.92. Our model computes the value of FuelCell Energy from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (1.35) %, shares outstanding of 20.38 M, and Current Valuation of 103.31 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting FuelCell Energy's valuation include:
Price Book
0.24
Enterprise Value
103.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(4.19)
Price Sales
1.9738
Enterprise Value Revenue
1.2115
Overvalued
Today
7.92
Please note that FuelCell Energy's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of FuelCell Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing FuelCell Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the FuelCell stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of FuelCell Energy. Since FuelCell Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of FuelCell Stock. However, FuelCell Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.92 Real  4.78 Target  1.96 Hype  8.44 Naive  7.25
The intrinsic value of FuelCell Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence FuelCell Energy's stock price.
4.78
Real Value
12.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of FuelCell Energy helps investors to forecast how FuelCell stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of FuelCell Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on FuelCell Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-2.02-1.87-1.73
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.078.4415.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.157.2514.62
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.781.962.18
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use FuelCell Energy's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of FuelCell Energy's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against FuelCell Energy's closest peers.

FuelCell Energy Cash

301.82 Million

FuelCell Valuation Trend

Knowing FuelCell Energy's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both FuelCell Energy's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

FuelCell Revenue by Product

FuelCell Energy Total Value Analysis

FuelCell Energy is currently forecasted to have valuation of 103.31 M with market capitalization of 168.31 M, debt of 139.25 M, and cash on hands of 456.48 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the FuelCell Energy fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
103.31 M
168.31 M
139.25 M
456.48 M

FuelCell Energy Investor Information

About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FuelCell Energy recorded a loss per share of 7.8. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2019. The firm had 1:30 split on the 11th of November 2024. Based on the key measurements obtained from FuelCell Energy's financial statements, FuelCell Energy is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

FuelCell Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. FuelCell Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 12.91 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that FuelCell Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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FuelCell Energy Ownership Allocation

FuelCell Energy holds a total of 20.38 Million outstanding shares. 30% of FuelCell Energy outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. On April 1, 2021, Representative Austin Scott of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of FuelCell Energy's common stock.

FuelCell Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 123.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (108.06 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.16 M).

About FuelCell Energy Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of FuelCell Energy. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of FuelCell Energy based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing FuelCell Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of FuelCell Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of FuelCell Energy. We calculate exposure to FuelCell Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of FuelCell Energy's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit-9.5 M-10 M
Pretax Profit Margin(1.00)(1.05)
Operating Profit Margin(1.27)(1.33)
Net Loss(1.00)(1.05)
Gross Profit Margin(0.10)(0.10)

FuelCell Energy Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as FuelCell Energy does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding419.7 M

FuelCell Energy Current Valuation Indicators

FuelCell Energy's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final FuelCell Energy's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as FuelCell Energy, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use FuelCell Energy's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes FuelCell Energy's worth.
When determining whether FuelCell Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze FuelCell Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FuelCell Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FuelCell Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in FuelCell Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
For more information on how to buy FuelCell Stock please use our How to buy in FuelCell Stock guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FuelCell Energy. If investors know FuelCell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FuelCell Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(7.80)
Revenue Per Share
5.504
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.10)
Return On Equity
(0.19)
The market value of FuelCell Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FuelCell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FuelCell Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FuelCell Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FuelCell Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FuelCell Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FuelCell Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FuelCell Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FuelCell Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.