Middlefield Banc Stock Technical Analysis
| MBCN Stock | USD 34.00 0.13 0.38% |
As of the 4th of February, Middlefield Banc secures the Downside Deviation of 2.09, risk adjusted performance of 0.0414, and Mean Deviation of 1.36. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Middlefield Banc, as well as the relationship between them.
Middlefield Banc Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Middlefield, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MiddlefieldMiddlefield | Build AI portfolio with Middlefield Stock |
Middlefield Banc Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 34.0 | Hold | 4 | Odds |
Most Middlefield analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Middlefield stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Middlefield Banc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Middlefield conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Middlefield diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. Expected growth trajectory for Middlefield significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Middlefield Banc data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.242 | Dividend Share 0.83 | Earnings Share 2.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.336 |
Understanding Middlefield Banc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Middlefield's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Middlefield Banc's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Middlefield Banc's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Middlefield Banc's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Middlefield Banc represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Middlefield Banc's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Middlefield Banc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Middlefield Banc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Middlefield Banc.
| 11/06/2025 |
| 02/04/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Middlefield Banc on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Middlefield Banc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Middlefield Banc over 90 days. Middlefield Banc is related to or competes with John Marshall, Citizens Financial, Northeast Community, CoastalSouth Bancshares,, Timberland Bancorp, Colony Bankcorp, and First Bancorp. Middlefield Banc Corp. operates as the bank holding company for The Middlefield Banking Company that provides various co... More
Middlefield Banc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Middlefield Banc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Middlefield Banc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0203 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.93) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.67 |
Middlefield Banc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Middlefield Banc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Middlefield Banc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Middlefield Banc historical prices to predict the future Middlefield Banc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0414 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0335 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0187 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0727 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlefield Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Middlefield Banc February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0414 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0827 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2087.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.69 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0203 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0335 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0187 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0727 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.93) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) | |||
| Skewness | (0.29) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.9 |
Middlefield Banc Backtested Returns
As of now, Middlefield Stock is very steady. Middlefield Banc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0214, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0214 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Middlefield Banc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Middlefield Banc's Mean Deviation of 1.36, risk adjusted performance of 0.0414, and Downside Deviation of 2.09 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0419%. Middlefield Banc has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.13, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Middlefield Banc returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Middlefield Banc is expected to follow. Middlefield Banc right now secures a risk of 1.96%. Please verify Middlefield Banc downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Middlefield Banc will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
Middlefield Banc has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Middlefield Banc time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Middlefield Banc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Middlefield Banc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.56 |
Middlefield Banc technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Middlefield Banc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Middlefield Banc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Middlefield Banc Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Middlefield Banc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Middlefield Banc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Middlefield Banc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Middlefield Banc. By analyzing Middlefield Banc's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Middlefield Banc's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Middlefield Banc specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0262 | 0.0381 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.7 | 2.9 |
Middlefield Banc February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Middlefield help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Middlefield from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Middlefield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0414 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0827 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2087.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.69 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0203 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0335 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0187 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0727 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.93) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) | |||
| Skewness | (0.29) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.9 |
Middlefield Banc February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Middlefield stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.37 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 33.83 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 33.88 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.24 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.35 |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Middlefield Banc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private. To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Middlefield diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. Expected growth trajectory for Middlefield significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Middlefield Banc data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.242 | Dividend Share 0.83 | Earnings Share 2.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.336 |
Understanding Middlefield Banc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Middlefield's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Middlefield Banc's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Middlefield Banc's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Middlefield Banc's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Middlefield Banc represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Middlefield Banc's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.