The Hanover Insurance Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

THG Stock  USD 163.60  0.86  0.53%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding The Hanover Insurance is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Hanover Insurance buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding THG positions.
  
Check out Hanover Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hanover and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. The Hanover Insurance. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Hanover Insurance Buy or Sell Advice

The Hanover recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on The Hanover Insurance. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in The Hanover Insurance or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hanover Insurance's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hanover InsuranceBuy Hanover Insurance
Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon The Hanover Insurance has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1827, Jensen Alpha of 0.1771, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0878, Sortino Ratio of 0.1558 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3064
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Hanover Insurance to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hanover Insurance. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure The Hanover Insurance is not overpriced, please check out all Hanover Insurance fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Hanover Insurance has a price to earning of 18.15 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Hanover Insurance market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hanover Insurance Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The Hanover Insurance has 783.2 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.34, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hanover Insurance has a current ratio of 0.35, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hanover to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Hanover Insurance has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of Hanover Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: This Ulta Beauty Analyst Is No Longer Bullish Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Thursday

Hanover Insurance Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hanover Insurance's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hanover Insurance's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hanover Insurance daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use The Hanover Insurance price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hanover Insurance returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hanover Insurance.
Mean Return
0.30
Value At Risk
-1.52
Potential Upside
2.28
Standard Deviation
1.30
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hanover Insurance historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hanover Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
793.9 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
681.7 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
663 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
660.3 K
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
621.4 K
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
552.5 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
539.6 K
London Company Of Virginia2024-06-30
444.9 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
432.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.3 M
Note, although Hanover Insurance's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hanover Insurance Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(805M)(95.1M)110.3M74.1M11.1M11.7M
Free Cash Flow589.6M692.7M815.7M704.5M349.8M250.8M
Other Non Cash Items(111.1M)(17.6M)(283.9M)49.6M10.8M10.3M
Dividends Paid386.2M99.5M102.2M108.9M117.2M68.6M
Capital Expenditures13.3M14.9M8M17.8M11.9M11.3M
Net Income425.1M358.7M418.7M116M33.5M31.8M
End Period Cash Flow215.7M120.6M230.9M305M316.1M431.9M
Depreciation21.6M18.2M16.9M12.9M14.2M20.5M
Investments(251.4M)(511.6M)(548.3M)(853.9M)(228.5M)(239.9M)
Change Receivables(257.8M)(144M)(156.3M)(173.9M)(156.5M)(164.3M)
Change To Netincome31.1M(1.7M)(76.2M)89M80.1M84.1M

Hanover Insurance Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hanover Insurance or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hanover Insurance's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hanover stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Hanover Insurance Volatility Alert

The Hanover Insurance has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.47 and kurtosis of 1.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hanover Insurance's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hanover Insurance's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hanover Insurance Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hanover Insurance's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hanover Insurance's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hanover Insurance and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hanover Insurance or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hanover Insurance's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hanover Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hanover Insurance to competition
FundamentalsHanover InsurancePeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0215-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding36.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.76 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.38 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted248.28 K4.71 M
Price To Earning18.15 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.05 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.95 X11.42 X
Revenue5.99 B9.43 B
Gross Profit752 M27.38 B
EBITDA75.2 M3.9 B
Net Income33.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents305 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.63 X5.01 X
Total Debt783.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.34 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share79.94 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations361.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.44 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share10.09 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(23.25) X4.89 X
Target Price172.33
Number Of Employees4.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.71-0.15
Market Capitalization5.9 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.61 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.91 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Note: Disposition of 1823 shares by Denise Lowsley of Hanover Insurance at 162.32 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Hanover Insurance Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hanover . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hanover Insurance Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell The Hanover Insurance? Buying financial instruments such as Hanover Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hanover Insurance in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Hanover Insurance is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hanover Insurance's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hanover Insurance's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hanover Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Hanover Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hanover Insurance. If investors know Hanover will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hanover Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
10.656
Dividend Share
3.4
Earnings Share
10.09
Revenue Per Share
172.438
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.032
The market value of Hanover Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hanover that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hanover Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hanover Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hanover Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hanover Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hanover Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hanover Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hanover Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.