Valley National Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VLY Stock | USD 10.56 0.31 3.02% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Valley National Bancorp is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Valley National Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Valley National. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Valley National Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Valley National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valley and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Valley National Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Valley |
Execute Valley National Buy or Sell Advice
The Valley recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valley National Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valley National Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valley National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Valley National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of October 2024 Valley National paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from desmoinesregister.com: Iowa high school football playoff scores Class 5A Live updates of Southeast Polk vs. Valley |
Valley National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Valley National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valley National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valley National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valley National Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valley National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valley National.
| Mean Return | 0.44 | Value At Risk | -3.44 | Potential Upside | 5.26 | Standard Deviation | 2.64 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valley National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Valley Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Valley National, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valley National Bancorp back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 7 M | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 5.7 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 5.4 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 4.9 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 4.8 M | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.8 M | Basswood Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 71.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 45.8 M |
Valley National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 6.1M | 894.5M | 720.7M | (1.1B) | (56.7M) | (53.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (989.3M) | 151.5M | (225.8M) | 1.4B | 378.2M | 397.1M | |
| Depreciation | 71.4M | 82.3M | 76.8M | 110.5M | 83.2M | 87.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.2B | (68.2M) | 219.1M | 183.9M | 38.1M | 36.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 159.2M | 190.7M | 192.4M | 219.1M | 239.7M | 251.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.5B | 24.6M | 1.1B | 125.8M | 76.0M | 72.2M | |
| Net Income | 309.8M | 390.6M | 473.8M | 568.9M | 498.5M | 523.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 434.7M | 1.3B | 2.0B | 947.9M | 891.2M | 482.9M | |
| Investments | (2.3B) | (2.1B) | (344.6M) | (7.0B) | (5.1B) | (4.8B) | |
| Change Receivables | 1.4M | (593K) | 11.5M | (74.0M) | (66.6M) | (63.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (976.1M) | 225.3M | (1.4B) | (473.3M) | (426.0M) | (404.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.2B | (230.7M) | 265.9M | 143.4M | 164.9M | 236.6M |
Valley National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valley National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valley National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valley stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Valley National Volatility Alert
Valley National Bancorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.18 and kurtosis of 3.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valley National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valley National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Valley National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Valley National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valley National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valley National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valley National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valley National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valley National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Valley National to competition |
| Fundamentals | Valley National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0494 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0055 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.21 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.37 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.49 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 558.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.36 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.15 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 34.46 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 12.60 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.89 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.74 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.82 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.79 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 761.54 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 498.51 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.72 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.39 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.71 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.79 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.00 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 378.19 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.07 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.62 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.32 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 10.8 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.75 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.9 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 60.93 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.47 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 4.08 % |
Note: Discretionary transaction by Lenner Marc J of tradable shares of Valley National subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Valley National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valley . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Valley National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Valley National Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Valley Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Valley National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Valley Stock Analysis
When running Valley National's price analysis, check to measure Valley National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valley National is operating at the current time. Most of Valley National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valley National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valley National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valley National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.