Full Truck Alliance Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

YMM Stock  USD 9.37  0.33  3.40%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Full Truck Alliance is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Full Truck's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Full Truck Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Full and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Full Truck Alliance. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Full Truck Buy or Sell Advice

The Full recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Full Truck Alliance. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Full Truck Alliance or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Full Truck's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Full TruckBuy Full Truck
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Full Truck Alliance has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0916, Jensen Alpha of 0.2861, Total Risk Alpha of (0.17), Sortino Ratio of 0.1036 and Treynor Ratio of 0.5703
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Full Truck Alliance. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Full Truck is not overpriced, please confirm all Full Truck Alliance fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Full Truck Alliance has a number of shares shorted of 35.51 M, we urge you to verify Full Truck Alliance market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Full Truck Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Full Truck Alliance had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Full Truck Alliance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: YMM Soars Over 14 percent on Strong Q3 Performance and Growth Prospects

Full Truck Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Full Truck's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Full Truck's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Full Truck daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Full Truck Alliance price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Full Truck returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Full Truck.
Mean Return
0.37
Value At Risk
-3.79
Potential Upside
5.58
Standard Deviation
3.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Full Truck historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Full Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Full Truck, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Full Truck Alliance back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fidelity International Ltd2024-06-30
17.6 M
Mubadala Investment Company Pjsc2024-06-30
16.8 M
Oceanlink Management Ltd.2024-09-30
16.1 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-09-30
15.4 M
Sc Us (ttgp), Ltd.2024-06-30
13.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
11.8 M
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
10.9 M
Bamco Inc2024-09-30
10.4 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
8.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
50 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
32.5 M
Note, although Full Truck's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Full Truck Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Full Truck or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Full Truck's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Full stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
3.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Full Truck Volatility Alert

Full Truck Alliance currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Full Truck's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Full Truck's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Full Truck Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Full Truck's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Full Truck's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Full Truck and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Full Truck or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Full Truck's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Full Truck by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Full Truck to competition
FundamentalsFull TruckPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0737-0.31
Return On Asset0.0232-0.14
Profit Margin0.27 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.98 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding939.16 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.26 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.19 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted35.51 M4.71 M
Price To Earning10.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.01 X11.42 X
Revenue8.44 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.56 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.14 B3.9 B
Net Income2.23 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.14 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share25.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt84.47 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio11.43 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share34.07 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.27 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.39 X3.12 X
Target Price88.87
Number Of Employees7.58 K18.84 K
Beta0.23-0.15
Market Capitalization9.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset39.35 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(14.4 B)9.33 B
Working Capital20.72 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.02 %

Full Truck Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Full . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Full Truck Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Full Truck Alliance? Buying financial instruments such as Full Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Full Truck in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Real Estate
Real Estate Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Real Estate theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Real Estate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Full Truck Alliance is a strong investment it is important to analyze Full Truck's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Full Truck's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Full Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Full Truck Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Full Truck. If investors know Full will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Full Truck listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.384
Earnings Share
0.39
Revenue Per Share
9.282
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.341
Return On Assets
0.0232
The market value of Full Truck Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Full that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Full Truck's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Full Truck's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Full Truck's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Full Truck's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Full Truck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Full Truck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Full Truck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.