Correlation Between Commerce Bancshares and First Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerce Bancshares and First Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerce Bancshares and First Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerce Bancshares and First Financial Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerce Bancshares and First Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerce Bancshares with a short position of First Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerce Bancshares and First Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerce Bancshares and First Financial

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerce and First is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerce Bancshares and First Financial Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Financial Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerce Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with First Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Financial Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Commerce Bancshares i.e., Commerce Bancshares and First Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerce Bancshares and First Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce Bancshares is expected to generate 0.76 times more return on investment than First Financial. However, Commerce Bancshares is 1.31 times less risky than First Financial. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Financial Bancorp is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,228  in Commerce Bancshares on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,208  from holding Commerce Bancshares or generate 19.4% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commerce Bancshares  vs.  First Financial Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Financial Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Financial Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak fundamental drivers, First Financial exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Commerce Bancshares and First Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commerce Bancshares and First Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerce Bancshares and First Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerce Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, First Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Financial will offset losses from the drop in First Financial's long position.
The idea behind Commerce Bancshares and First Financial Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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