Correlation Between ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ESSA Bancorp with a short position of FVCBankcorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp.

Diversification Opportunities for ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp

0.91
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between ESSA and FVCBankcorp is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on FVCBankcorp and ESSA Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ESSA Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with FVCBankcorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of FVCBankcorp has no effect on the direction of ESSA Bancorp i.e., ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ESSA Bancorp is expected to generate 1.25 times less return on investment than FVCBankcorp. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, ESSA Bancorp is 1.28 times less risky than FVCBankcorp. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. FVCBankcorp is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,045  in FVCBankcorp on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  393.00  from holding FVCBankcorp or generate 37.61% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ESSA Bancorp  vs.  FVCBankcorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
FVCBankcorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FVCBankcorp are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental indicators, FVCBankcorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ESSA Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, FVCBankcorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FVCBankcorp will offset losses from the drop in FVCBankcorp's long position.
The idea behind ESSA Bancorp and FVCBankcorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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