Correlation Between Old Second and OceanFirst Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Second and OceanFirst Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Second and OceanFirst Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Second Bancorp and OceanFirst Financial Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Second and OceanFirst Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Second with a short position of OceanFirst Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Second and OceanFirst Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Second and OceanFirst Financial

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and OceanFirst is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Second Bancorp and OceanFirst Financial Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on OceanFirst Financial Corp and Old Second is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Second Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with OceanFirst Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of OceanFirst Financial Corp has no effect on the direction of Old Second i.e., Old Second and OceanFirst Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Second and OceanFirst Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Second Bancorp is expected to generate 0.71 times more return on investment than OceanFirst Financial. However, Old Second Bancorp is 1.42 times less risky than OceanFirst Financial. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. OceanFirst Financial Corp is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,345  in Old Second Bancorp on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  524.00  from holding Old Second Bancorp or generate 38.96% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old Second Bancorp  vs.  OceanFirst Financial Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
OceanFirst Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in OceanFirst Financial Corp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent technical and fundamental indicators, OceanFirst Financial exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Old Second and OceanFirst Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old Second and OceanFirst Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Second and OceanFirst Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Second position performs unexpectedly, OceanFirst Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in OceanFirst Financial will offset losses from the drop in OceanFirst Financial's long position.
The idea behind Old Second Bancorp and OceanFirst Financial Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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