Oceanfirst Financial Corp Stock Performance

OCFC Stock  USD 18.35  0.13  0.70%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.26, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, OceanFirst Financial will likely underperform. At this point, OceanFirst Financial Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0114%. Please make sure to check OceanFirst Financial's kurtosis, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if OceanFirst Financial Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days OceanFirst Financial Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, OceanFirst Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.70)
Five Day Return
(4.03)
Year To Date Return
2.86
Ten Year Return
3.21
All Time Return
159.18
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0436
Payout Ratio
0.442
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
0.8
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
 
OceanFirst Financial dividend paid on 14th of November 2025
11/14/2025
1
Why retail investors favor OceanFirst Financial Corp. stock - Portfolio Return Report AI Powered Trade Plan Recommendations - newser.com
11/19/2025
2
Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Cuts Stake in OceanFirst Financial Corp. OCFC - MarketBeat
12/24/2025
3
Assessing OceanFirst Financial Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness
01/08/2026
4
3 Reasons to Avoid OCFC and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
01/12/2026
5
HAREHOLDER ALERT The MA Class Action Firm Is Investigating The Merger--FFIC, OCFC, VTYX, and ONTF
01/14/2026
6
OceanFirst Financial Earnings Expected to Grow What to Know Ahead of Next Weeks Release
01/15/2026
7
Curious about OceanFirst Q4 Performance Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
01/21/2026
8
OceanFirst Q4 Earnings Snapshot
01/22/2026
9
OceanFirst Financial declares 0.20 dividend
01/23/2026
10
OCFC Q4 Deep Dive Commercial Growth, Margin Pressures, and Flushing Merger Set the Stage
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow153.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities106.4 M

OceanFirst Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,870  in OceanFirst Financial Corp on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (35.00) from holding OceanFirst Financial Corp or give up 1.87% of portfolio value over 90 days. OceanFirst Financial Corp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.9979% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than OceanFirst, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days OceanFirst Financial is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

OceanFirst Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of OceanFirst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.35 90 days 18.35 
about 63.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OceanFirst Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.62 (This OceanFirst Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of OceanFirst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OceanFirst Financial will likely underperform. Additionally OceanFirst Financial Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OceanFirst Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OceanFirst Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OceanFirst Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3418.3420.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7919.7921.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0020.0021.99
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.1121.0023.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OceanFirst Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OceanFirst Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OceanFirst Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OceanFirst Financial Corp.

OceanFirst Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OceanFirst Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OceanFirst Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OceanFirst Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OceanFirst Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

OceanFirst Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OceanFirst Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OceanFirst Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OceanFirst Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OceanFirst Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from stockstory.org: OCFC Q4 Deep Dive Commercial Growth, Margin Pressures, and Flushing Merger Set the Stage

OceanFirst Financial Fundamentals Growth

OceanFirst Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of OceanFirst Financial, and OceanFirst Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on OceanFirst Stock performance.

About OceanFirst Financial Performance

By analyzing OceanFirst Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into OceanFirst Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if OceanFirst Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if OceanFirst Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.09 

Things to note about OceanFirst Financial Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about OceanFirst Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for OceanFirst Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OceanFirst Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OceanFirst Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from stockstory.org: OCFC Q4 Deep Dive Commercial Growth, Margin Pressures, and Flushing Merger Set the Stage
Evaluating OceanFirst Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate OceanFirst Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing OceanFirst Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether OceanFirst Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining OceanFirst Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating OceanFirst Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of OceanFirst Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of OceanFirst Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into OceanFirst Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating OceanFirst Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact OceanFirst Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for OceanFirst Stock analysis

When running OceanFirst Financial's price analysis, check to measure OceanFirst Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OceanFirst Financial is operating at the current time. Most of OceanFirst Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OceanFirst Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OceanFirst Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OceanFirst Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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