Southern California Bancorp Stock Performance

BCAL Stock  USD 17.99  0.09  0.50%   
The entity has a beta of 0.49, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Southern California's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Southern California is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Southern California has a negative expected return of -0.0302%. Please make sure to validate Southern California's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Southern California performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Southern California Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, Southern California is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.50)
Five Day Return
(2.07)
Year To Date Return
(3.02)
Ten Year Return
116.75
All Time Return
71.33
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0221
Payout Ratio
0.0407
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-24
1
California BanCorp Hits New 52-Week High Whats Next
11/04/2025
2
How Much Upside is Left in California BanCorp Wall Street Analysts Think 25. percent - sharewise.com
11/24/2025
3
Disposition of 2290 shares by Martin Liska of Southern California at 19.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
4
Disposition of 62881 shares by Cullen Kevin J. of Southern California subject to Rule 16b-3
12/02/2025
5
California BanCorp declares 0.10 dividend
12/08/2025
6
Disposition of 5369 shares by Martin Liska of Southern California subject to Rule 16b-3
12/09/2025
7
California BanCorp To Go Ex-Dividend on December 24th
12/10/2025
8
Disposition of 465 shares by Joann Yeung of Southern California at 19.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
9
Disposition of 110523 shares by David Rainer of Southern California subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
10
California BanCorp Receives Average Recommendation of Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
12/16/2025
11
Disposition of tradable shares by Wirfel Michelle of Southern California at 19.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
12
Disposition of 1238 shares by Manisha Merchant of Southern California at 18.79 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
 
Southern California dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
13
CALIFORNIA BANK OF COMMERCE ADDS TWO VETERAN COMMERCIAL BANKERS TO ITS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TEAM
01/26/2026
14
CALIFORNIA BANCORP REPORTS NET INCOME OF 16.4 MILLION FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER AND 63.1 MILLION FOR THE FULL YEAR OF 2025
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow86.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities524.7 M
Free Cash Flow49.7 M

Southern California Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,841  in Southern California Bancorp on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (42.00) from holding Southern California Bancorp or give up 2.28% of portfolio value over 90 days. Southern California Bancorp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.189% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Southern, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Southern California is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.6 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Southern California Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Southern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.99 90 days 17.99 
about 92.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southern California to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.73 (This Southern California Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Southern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Southern California has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Southern California average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Southern California Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Southern California Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0559, implying that it can generate a 0.0559 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Southern California Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Southern California

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern California. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.7917.9919.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3018.5019.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.5517.7518.95
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.5721.5023.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Southern California. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Southern California's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Southern California's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Southern California.

Southern California Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southern California is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southern California's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southern California Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southern California within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Southern California Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Southern California for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Southern California can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Southern California generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Southern California is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of January 2026 Southern California paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: CALIFORNIA BANCORP REPORTS NET INCOME OF 16.4 MILLION FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER AND 63.1 MILLION FOR THE FULL YEAR OF 2025

Southern California Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Southern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Southern California's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern California's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments286.9 M

Southern California Fundamentals Growth

Southern Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Southern California, and Southern California fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Southern Stock performance.

About Southern California Performance

By examining Southern California's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Southern California's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Southern California is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.11 

Things to note about Southern California performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Southern California for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Southern California help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Southern California generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Southern California is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of January 2026 Southern California paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: CALIFORNIA BANCORP REPORTS NET INCOME OF 16.4 MILLION FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER AND 63.1 MILLION FOR THE FULL YEAR OF 2025
Evaluating Southern California's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Southern California's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Southern California's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Southern California's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Southern California's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Southern California's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Southern California's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Southern California's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Southern California's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Southern California's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Southern California's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Southern California is a strong investment it is important to analyze Southern California's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Southern California's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Southern Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Southern California Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern California. Projected growth potential of Southern fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Southern California assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
0.1
Earnings Share
1.93
Revenue Per Share
5.832
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
The market value of Southern California is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern California's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern California's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern California's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern California's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Southern California's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Southern California should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Southern California's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.