Ambac Financial Group Price Patterns
| AMBCDelisted Stock | USD 8.98 0.21 2.39% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ambac Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ambac Financial Group from the perspective of Ambac Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ambac Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ambac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ambac Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 9.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ambac |
Ambac Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ambac Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ambac Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ambac Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ambac Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ambac Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ambac Financial's historical news coverage. Ambac Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.07 and 14.13, respectively. We have considered Ambac Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ambac Financial is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambac Financial Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ambac Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ambac Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ambac Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ambac Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 5.03 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.98 | 9.10 | 1.34 |
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Ambac Financial Hype Timeline
Ambac Financial Group is presently traded for 8.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Ambac is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.34%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.69%. The volatility of related hype on Ambac Financial is about 2553.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.12. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 235.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 147.31 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.Ambac Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ambac Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ambac Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Ambac Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ambac Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBI | MBIA Inc | 0.10 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.61 | (3.77) | 16.36 | |
| RM | Regional Management Corp | 0.83 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.78 | (3.78) | 13.72 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity Group | (0.49) | 8 per month | 1.13 | (0.03) | 2.91 | (1.86) | 5.97 | |
| BSRR | Sierra Bancorp | 1.55 | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.19 | 4.28 | (1.74) | 9.04 | |
| TWFG | TWFG Class A | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.42 | (2.80) | 11.27 | |
| FRBA | First Bank | (0.13) | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.03 | 3.29 | (1.92) | 8.53 | |
| GCBC | Greene County Bancorp | (0.27) | 9 per month | 1.72 | 0.03 | 4.59 | (2.70) | 10.25 | |
| BRBS | Blue Ridge Bankshares | 0.13 | 7 per month | 1.71 | 0.01 | 2.64 | (2.75) | 8.39 | |
| VBNK | VersaBank | 0.14 | 6 per month | 0.84 | 0.19 | 2.90 | (1.67) | 13.41 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.12 | 3.41 | (2.00) | 7.93 |
Ambac Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ambac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ambac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ambac Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ambac Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ambac Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ambac Financial based on analysis of Ambac Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ambac Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ambac Financial's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Ambac Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Ambac Financial Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ambac Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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