AMBC Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AMBC Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AMBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for AMBC Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of AMBC Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

AMBC Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AMBC Old on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.43.

AMBC Old Stock Forecast Pattern

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AMBC Old Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AMBC Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AMBC Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of AMBC Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict AMBC Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for AMBC Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMBC Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 4.38 8.64 12.90 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 3.33 7.59 11.85 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 7.61 8.62 9.64 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMBC Old. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMBC Old's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMBC Old's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMBC Old.

AMBC Old After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

AMBC Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

AMBC Old Stock Price Prediction Analysis

AMBC Old Hype Timeline

AMBC Old is presently traded for 8.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. AMBC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.79%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on AMBC Old is about 10650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.99. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMBC Old has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.9. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.98. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. AMBC Old had 3:2 split on the 13th of December 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 26 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

AMBC Old Related Hype Analysis

AMBC Old Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

AMBC Old Market Strength Events

AMBC Old Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for AMBC Old

AMBC Old Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in AMBC Stock