Ameresco Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 26.33 36.43 39.70 Details

13 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 39.84 43.78 48.59 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.08 -0.002 0.07 Details

Ameresco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Ameresco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Ameresco Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.38	3.27	0.16	0.15	13 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 13 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
29.14	29.10	0.55	778.57   Notes

Ameresco Hype Timeline

Ameresco is presently traded for 29.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Ameresco is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Ameresco is about 832.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.29. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ameresco has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.99. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of July 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Ameresco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ameresco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameresco Stock guide.

Ameresco Related Hype Analysis

Ameresco Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ameresco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ameresco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ameresco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Ameresco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ameresco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ameresco based on analysis of Ameresco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Ameresco depends on current market conditions and Ameresco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ameresco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ameresco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ameresco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ameresco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ameresco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ameresco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ameresco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Ameresco's price analysis, check to measure Ameresco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ameresco is operating at the current time. Most of Ameresco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ameresco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ameresco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ameresco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.