Amentum Holdings Stock Price Patterns
| AMTM Stock | 35.78 1.34 3.61% |
Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5456 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.7487 | Wall Street Target Price 36.1818 |
Using Amentum Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amentum Holdings from the perspective of Amentum Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amentum Holdings using Amentum Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amentum using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amentum Holdings' stock price.
Amentum Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Amentum Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Amentum Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Amentum Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 24.9682 | Short Percent 0.0543 | Short Ratio 4.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 30.6764 |
Amentum Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Amentum Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Amentum. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Amentum can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Amentum Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Amentum Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Amentum Holdings.
Amentum Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Amentum Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amentum Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amentum Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amentum Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amentum Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amentum Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amentum because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Amentum Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 35.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amentum contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amentum Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Amentum Holdings trading at USD 35.78, that is roughly USD 0.0165 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amentum Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amentum Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Amentum Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amentum Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amentum Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amentum Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amentum Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amentum Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amentum Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amentum Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amentum Holdings' historical news coverage. Amentum Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.16 and 39.56, respectively. We have considered Amentum Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amentum Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amentum Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amentum Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amentum Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amentum Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amentum Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.84 | 3.70 | 0.23 | 0.68 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.78 | 35.86 | 0.22 |
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Amentum Holdings Hype Timeline
Amentum Holdings is presently traded for 35.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.68. Amentum is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.86 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.84%. The volatility of related hype on Amentum Holdings is about 456.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.46. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.39 B. Net Income was 59 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.55 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Amentum Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Amentum Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amentum Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amentum Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Amentum Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amentum Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HXL | Hexcel | (0.19) | 21 per month | 1.68 | 0.08 | 2.82 | (2.67) | 7.72 | |
| RAL | Ralliant Common | (1.93) | 9 per month | 1.20 | 0.15 | 3.14 | (2.41) | 8.74 | |
| KBR | KBR Inc | 0.92 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.22 | (2.79) | 10.41 | |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.17 | 0.11 | 4.65 | (3.62) | 12.66 | |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc | 0.38 | 10 per month | 0.81 | 0.27 | 3.81 | (1.72) | 11.04 | |
| TKR | Timken Company | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.15 | 3.38 | (2.13) | 8.44 | |
| SPR | Spirit Aerosystems Holdings | 9.45 | 14 per month | 0.82 | 0.17 | 4.71 | (1.37) | 5.45 | |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | (2.50) | 8 per month | 0.76 | 0.16 | 1.96 | (1.37) | 4.89 | |
| FCN | FTI Consulting | 1.05 | 13 per month | 1.10 | 0.03 | 2.10 | (2.05) | 7.74 |
Amentum Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amentum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amentum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amentum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Amentum Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Amentum Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amentum Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amentum Holdings based on analysis of Amentum Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amentum Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amentum Holdings's related companies. | 2010 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 62.87 | 66.83 | 57.5 | PTB Ratio | 1.4 | 19.15 | 20.1 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Amentum Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Amentum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Amentum Holdings guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Will Research & Consulting Services sector continue expanding? Could Amentum diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amentum Holdings. If investors know Amentum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Amentum Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.774 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Amentum Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amentum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amentum Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amentum Holdings' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Amentum Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amentum Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amentum Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amentum Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amentum Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.