Capitol Federal Financial Stock Price Patterns
| CFFN Stock | USD 7.30 0.20 2.82% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.319 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.635 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7 | Wall Street Target Price 7 |
Using Capitol Federal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capitol Federal Financial from the perspective of Capitol Federal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Capitol Federal using Capitol Federal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Capitol using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Capitol Federal's stock price.
Capitol Federal Short Interest
An investor who is long Capitol Federal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Capitol Federal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Capitol Federal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.2323 | Short Percent 0.0357 | Short Ratio 3.12 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 6.7646 |
Capitol Federal Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Capitol Federal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capitol. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capitol can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capitol Federal Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Capitol Federal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Capitol Federal.
Capitol Federal Implied Volatility | 1.63 |
Capitol Federal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capitol Federal Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capitol Federal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capitol Federal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capitol Federal's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capitol Federal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capitol because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Capitol Federal after-hype prediction price | USD 7.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Capitol Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Capitol Federal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capitol Federal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capitol Federal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capitol Federal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capitol Federal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capitol Federal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capitol Federal's historical news coverage. Capitol Federal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.68 and 8.92, respectively. We have considered Capitol Federal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capitol Federal is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capitol Federal Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capitol Federal Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capitol Federal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capitol Federal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capitol Federal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.62 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.30 | 7.30 | 0.00 |
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Capitol Federal Hype Timeline
Capitol Federal Financial is currently traded for 7.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Capitol is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Capitol Federal is about 1102.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.25. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capitol Federal Financial last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. The entity had 22637:10000 split on the 22nd of December 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Capitol Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Capitol Federal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capitol Federal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capitol Federal's future price movements. Getting to know how Capitol Federal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capitol Federal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial | (0.32) | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.02) | 3.12 | (1.93) | 18.16 | |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | 0.80 | 7 per month | 1.44 | 0.10 | 3.39 | (2.70) | 13.04 | |
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial | (0.32) | 14 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 2.86 | (2.19) | 9.76 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | (0.27) | 35 per month | 1.67 | 0.06 | 4.71 | (3.36) | 12.71 | |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings | (0.32) | 3 per month | 1.72 | 0.03 | 3.91 | (2.77) | 8.48 | |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Bank | (0.32) | 15 per month | 1.10 | 0.23 | 3.75 | (2.09) | 8.00 | |
| MCB | Metropolitan Bank Holding | (0.72) | 16 per month | 1.23 | 0.15 | 3.81 | (1.92) | 19.32 | |
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares | 0.43 | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.15 | 2.73 | (1.57) | 8.89 | |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.06 | 3.59 | (2.50) | 10.05 | |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares | (0.25) | 24 per month | 1.32 | 0.13 | 3.51 | (2.56) | 11.73 |
Capitol Federal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capitol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capitol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capitol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Capitol Federal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Capitol Federal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capitol Federal Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capitol Federal based on analysis of Capitol Federal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capitol Federal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capitol Federal's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0587 | 0.0536 | 0.0482 | 0.0382 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.0 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 1.69 |
Pair Trading with Capitol Federal
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Capitol Federal position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capitol Federal will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Capitol Stock
| 0.8 | BIRG | Bank of Ireland Group PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | EBMT | Eagle Bancorp Montana | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | EFSC | Enterprise Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | WSFS | WSFS Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | FIBK | First Interstate Ban | PairCorr |
Moving against Capitol Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Capitol Federal could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Capitol Federal when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Capitol Federal - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Capitol Federal Financial to buy it.
The correlation of Capitol Federal is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Capitol Federal moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Capitol Federal Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Capitol Federal can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Capitol Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Capitol diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capitol Federal. Projected growth potential of Capitol fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Capitol Federal data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.319 | Dividend Share 0.255 | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 |
Investors evaluate Capitol Federal Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Capitol Federal's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Capitol Federal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Capitol Federal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capitol Federal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Capitol Federal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.