Canadian Pacific Railway Stock Price Prediction
| CP Stock | USD 72.83 0.42 0.58% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3862 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6481 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.2873 | Wall Street Target Price 88.0475 |
Using Canadian Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian Pacific Railway from the perspective of Canadian Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Canadian Pacific using Canadian Pacific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Canadian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Canadian Pacific's stock price.
Canadian Pacific Short Interest
An investor who is long Canadian Pacific may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Canadian Pacific and may potentially protect profits, hedge Canadian Pacific with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 75.4894 | Short Percent 0.0115 | Short Ratio 5.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 72.61 |
Canadian Pacific Railway Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Canadian Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Canadian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Canadian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Canadian Pacific Railway. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Canadian Pacific's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Canadian Pacific.
Canadian Pacific Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
Canadian Pacific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Canadian Pacific Railway stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Canadian Pacific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Canadian Pacific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Canadian Pacific's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canadian Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Canadian Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 72.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Canadian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Canadian Pacific Railway will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Canadian Pacific trading at USD 72.83, that is roughly USD 0.0159 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Canadian Pacific's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Canadian Pacific Railway options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Canadian Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Canadian Pacific After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canadian Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canadian Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canadian Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian Pacific's historical news coverage. Canadian Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.45 and 74.17, respectively. We have considered Canadian Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canadian Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian Pacific Railway is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canadian Pacific Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.37 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.83 | 72.81 | 0.03 |
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Canadian Pacific Hype Timeline
As of January 26, 2026 Canadian Pacific Railway is listed for 72.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Canadian is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 72.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 137.0%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian Pacific is about 26.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.93. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canadian Pacific Railway has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.37. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The firm had 5:1 split on the 14th of May 2021. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Canadian Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Canadian Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CSX | CSX Corporation | 0.04 | 10 per month | 1.24 | (0.06) | 1.98 | (2.05) | 5.63 | |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.98 | (1.66) | 5.69 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.01 | 2.27 | (1.65) | 6.71 | |
| RSG | Republic Services | 1.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.74 | (1.50) | 4.38 | |
| CMI | Cummins | 1.50 | 16 per month | 1.16 | 0.23 | 2.87 | (2.39) | 9.83 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 0.35 | 9 per month | 1.44 | (0.02) | 2.40 | (2.82) | 6.43 | |
| FDX | FedEx | (4.82) | 8 per month | 0.69 | 0.21 | 2.58 | (1.59) | 7.76 | |
| PWR | Quanta Services | 1.83 | 7 per month | 2.57 | 0.02 | 3.37 | (5.43) | 9.84 | |
| URI | United Rentals | 40.47 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.90 | (3.19) | 7.99 | |
| TRI | Thomson Reuters | 11.58 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.63 | (3.66) | 7.59 |
Canadian Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Canadian Pacific Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Canadian Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canadian Pacific Railway, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Pacific based on analysis of Canadian Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canadian Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canadian Pacific's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007241 | 0.007301 | 0.008396 | 0.007977 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.78 | 6.68 | 6.01 | 6.31 |
Pair Trading with Canadian Pacific
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canadian Pacific position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canadian Pacific will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Canadian Stock
Moving against Canadian Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canadian Pacific could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canadian Pacific when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canadian Pacific - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canadian Pacific Railway to buy it.
The correlation of Canadian Pacific is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canadian Pacific moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canadian Pacific Railway moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canadian Pacific can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Canadian Stock Analysis
When running Canadian Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Canadian Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.