Farmer Bros Co Stock Price Patterns
| FARM Stock | USD 1.65 0.08 4.62% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.42) | Wall Street Target Price 2.25 |
Using Farmer Bros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmer Bros Co from the perspective of Farmer Bros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Farmer Bros using Farmer Bros' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Farmer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Farmer Bros' stock price.
Farmer Bros Implied Volatility | 2.49 |
Farmer Bros' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Farmer Bros Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Farmer Bros' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Farmer Bros stock will not fluctuate a lot when Farmer Bros' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmer Bros to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Farmer Bros after-hype prediction price | USD 1.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Farmer Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Farmer Bros After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Farmer Bros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmer Bros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Farmer Bros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Farmer Bros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Farmer Bros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmer Bros' historical news coverage. Farmer Bros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 4.85, respectively. We have considered Farmer Bros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Farmer Bros is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmer Bros is based on 3 months time horizon.
Farmer Bros Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmer Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmer Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmer Bros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 3.18 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.65 | 1.73 | 0.00 |
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Farmer Bros Hype Timeline
Farmer Bros is currently traded for 1.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Farmer is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmer Bros is about 2409.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.64. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.93. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmer Bros has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.63. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2011. Farmer Bros had 10:1 split on the 11th of May 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Farmer Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Farmer Bros Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Farmer Bros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmer Bros' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmer Bros' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmer Bros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BOF | BranchOut Food Common | (0.11) | 6 per month | 4.30 | 0.03 | 9.35 | (7.32) | 19.04 | |
| COOT | Australian Oilseeds Holdings | (0.40) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.40 | (10.53) | 34.28 | |
| PAVS | Paranovus Entertainment Technology | (0.40) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 22.50 | (29.49) | 133.88 | |
| IMG | CIMG Inc | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 12.96 | (15.15) | 47.57 | |
| DSY | Big Tree Cloud | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 4.44 | (9.68) | 20.49 | |
| BNKK | Bonk Inc | 0.11 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 21.61 | (20.46) | 62.91 | |
| NCRA | Nocera Inc | (0.60) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 14.53 | (11.76) | 43.98 | |
| JZ | Jianzhi Education Technology | (0.22) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.38 | (8.59) | 34.43 | |
| JVA | Coffee Holding Co | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.87 | (4.94) | 16.33 | |
| RYET | Ruanyun Edai Technology | 0.11 | 6 per month | 5.09 | (0) | 13.48 | (10.28) | 35.05 |
Farmer Bros Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Farmer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Farmer Bros Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Farmer Bros stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmer Bros Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmer Bros based on analysis of Farmer Bros hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmer Bros's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmer Bros's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0274 | 0.0288 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0985 | 0.0936 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Farmer Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Farmer diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. Market participants price Farmer higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Farmer Bros data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Earnings Share (0.63) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Farmer Bros requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Farmer's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Farmer Bros' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Farmer Bros' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Farmer Bros' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.