First Financial Bankshares Stock Price Prediction
| FFIN Stock | USD 32.05 0.70 2.14% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.185 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.465 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.945 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.078 | Wall Street Target Price 36.2 |
Using First Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Financial Bankshares from the perspective of First Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Financial using First Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Financial's stock price.
First Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long First Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about First Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge First Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.8838 | Short Percent 0.0609 | Short Ratio 8.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.5 M | 50 Day MA 31.3448 |
First Financial Bank Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to First Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Financial Bankshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Financial.
First Financial Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
First Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Financial Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 32.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current First contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that First Financial Bankshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With First Financial trading at USD 32.05, that is roughly USD 0.0184 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating First Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring First Financial Bankshares options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out First Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. First Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Financial's historical news coverage. First Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.33 and 34.31, respectively. We have considered First Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Financial Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
32.05 | 32.82 | 0.21 |
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First Financial Hype Timeline
First Financial Bank is currently traded for 32.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on First Financial is about 312.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.08. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 825.8 M. Net Income was 223.51 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 602.99 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out First Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how First Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | (0.22) | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 3.79 | (2.02) | 7.84 | |
| AX | Axos Financial | 1.27 | 12 per month | 1.45 | 0.10 | 3.18 | (2.60) | 6.63 | |
| IBOC | International Bancshares | 0.48 | 11 per month | 1.43 | (0.02) | 2.75 | (2.10) | 7.54 | |
| INTR | Inter Co Class | 0.26 | 7 per month | 3.00 | (0.01) | 4.38 | (3.98) | 14.58 | |
| GBCI | Glacier Bancorp | (0.82) | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.05 | 3.25 | (1.94) | 8.19 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | 0.66 | 7 per month | 1.52 | 0.09 | 3.62 | (2.24) | 10.35 | |
| ASB | Associated Banc Corp | 0.59 | 13 per month | 1.25 | 0.01 | 3.31 | (1.59) | 6.04 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 1.61 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 3.04 | (2.35) | 6.72 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | 1.53 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.13 | 2.80 | (1.77) | 5.74 | |
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares | (0.53) | 7 per month | 1.85 | 0.03 | 3.57 | (3.26) | 15.45 |
First Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Financial Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Financial based on analysis of First Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Financial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0231 | 0.02 | 0.0251 | 0.0261 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.95 | 6.97 | 5.18 | 4.9 |
Pair Trading with First Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if First Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against First Stock
| 0.51 | 601658 | Postal Savings Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | 601665 | Qilu Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.34 | 002966 | Bank of Suzhou | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to First Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace First Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back First Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling First Financial Bankshares to buy it.
The correlation of First Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as First Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if First Financial Bank moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for First Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out First Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in First Stock, please use our How to Invest in First Financial guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Financial. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.185 | Dividend Share 0.75 | Earnings Share 1.77 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 |
The market value of First Financial Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.