Fairfax Financial Holdings Stock Price Patterns

FRFHF Stock  USD 1,731  25.32  1.48%   
As of 15th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fairfax Financial's share price is approaching 34. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fairfax Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fairfax Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fairfax Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fairfax Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fairfax Financial Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fairfax Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fairfax Financial Holdings from the perspective of Fairfax Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fairfax Financial to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fairfax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fairfax Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1731.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fairfax Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5581,7511,752
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fairfax Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fairfax Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fairfax Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fairfax Financial.

Fairfax Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fairfax Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fairfax Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Fairfax Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fairfax Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fairfax Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fairfax Financial's historical news coverage. Fairfax Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,730 and 1,732, respectively. We have considered Fairfax Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,731
1,731
After-hype Price
1,732
Upside
Fairfax Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fairfax Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fairfax Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fairfax Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fairfax Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.42
 0.00  
  0.08 
0 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,731
1,731
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Fairfax Financial Hype Timeline

Fairfax Financial is currently traded for 1,731. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.08. Fairfax is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fairfax Financial is about 143.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,731. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fairfax Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 18.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Fairfax Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fairfax Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fairfax Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fairfax Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Fairfax Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fairfax Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RLIRLI Corp(0.25)10 per month 1.51 (0.04) 2.26 (2.34) 5.63 
CBChubb(4.72)7 per month 0.73  0.11  1.65 (1.87) 6.58 
PGRProgressive Corp(6.49)11 per month 1.48 (0.04) 2.24 (2.11) 8.71 
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance(23.27)8 per month 0.82  0.12  1.94 (1.26) 10.24 
WRB-PEW R Berkley 0.00 0 per month 0.40 (0.05) 0.68 (0.72) 2.02 
WRBW R Berkley 0.70 11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.10 (2.56) 7.11 
KNSLKinsale Capital Group 0.05 6 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.98 (3.90) 10.63 
UFCSUnited Fire Group 0.16 9 per month 1.21  0.05  2.14 (2.12) 5.43 
SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance(0.74)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.33 (2.98) 11.17 
MKLMarkel 14.97 10 per month 0.70 (0.08) 1.49 (1.04) 3.24 
NODKNI Holdings(0.04)7 per month 1.23 (0.03) 2.39 (1.75) 8.84 
DGICADonegal Group A 0.01 4 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.56 (2.54) 4.99 
DGICBDonegal Group B 0.15 11 per month 3.86  0.0007  6.12 (7.70) 25.86 
THGThe Hanover Insurance 0.45 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.66 (2.03) 5.99 
HMNHorace Mann Educators 0.16 6 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.09 (2.69) 6.62 
SIGISelective Insurance Group 0.81 22 per month 0.94  0.08  2.56 (1.58) 5.53 
GBLIGlobal Indemnity Group(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.34 (2.19) 7.02 
KMPRKemper 0.32 12 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.33 (3.48) 17.07 

Fairfax Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fairfax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fairfax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fairfax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fairfax Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fairfax Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fairfax Financial Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fairfax Financial based on analysis of Fairfax Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fairfax Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fairfax Financial's related companies.

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When running Fairfax Financial's price analysis, check to measure Fairfax Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fairfax Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Fairfax Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fairfax Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fairfax Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fairfax Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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