Greenlight Capital Re Stock Price Prediction

GLRE Stock  USD 15.08  0.01  0.07%   
The relative strength indicator of Greenlight Capital's the stock price is about 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Greenlight, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Greenlight Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Greenlight Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Greenlight Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Greenlight Capital Re, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Greenlight Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.59
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.25
Wall Street Target Price
1
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.65
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.079
Using Greenlight Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greenlight Capital Re from the perspective of Greenlight Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greenlight Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greenlight because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Greenlight Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Greenlight Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.127.8616.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.0614.8016.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.560.56
Details

Greenlight Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Greenlight Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greenlight Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greenlight Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Greenlight Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Greenlight Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greenlight Capital's historical news coverage. Greenlight Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.37 and 16.85, respectively. We have considered Greenlight Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.08
15.11
After-hype Price
16.85
Upside
Greenlight Capital is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greenlight Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Greenlight Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greenlight Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greenlight Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greenlight Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.74
  0.04 
  0.50 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.08
15.11
0.27 
756.52  
Notes

Greenlight Capital Hype Timeline

Greenlight Capital is currently traded for 15.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.5. Greenlight is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Greenlight Capital is about 56.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.58. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 244 K. Net Income was 86.83 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.63 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Greenlight Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Greenlight Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Greenlight Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greenlight Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Greenlight Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greenlight Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BNREBrookfield Reinsurance 0.66 2 per month 1.84  0.01  2.83 (3.15) 9.52 
RGAReinsurance Group of(3.10)10 per month 1.26  0.02  2.26 (1.93) 10.03 
SPNTSiriuspoint(0.15)6 per month 1.69 (0.01) 2.19 (2.74) 13.03 
SCRYYSCOR PK 0.00 0 per month 2.03  0.07  5.61 (4.09) 12.99 
SPNT-PBSiriusPoint 0.00 0 per month 0.13 (0.39) 0.44 (0.36) 1.27 
MHLDMaiden Holdings(0.14)2 per month 3.26 (0.03) 7.06 (4.94) 21.08 
RNR-PFRenaissanceRe Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.48 (0.26) 0.62 (0.86) 1.88 
RNR-PGRenaissanceRe Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.75 (1.01) 3.37 
REColas SA(34.19)23 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.29 (2.48) 6.28 
RNRRenaissancere Holdings(0.30)9 per month 1.96  0.02  2.90 (1.54) 12.15 
OXBRWOxbridge Re Holdings(0.02)2 per month 7.50  0.09  23.08 (16.67) 56.35 
MURGYMuenchener Rueckver Ges 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.50 (2.69) 5.85 

Greenlight Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Greenlight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greenlight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greenlight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Greenlight Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Greenlight Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greenlight Capital Re, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greenlight Capital based on analysis of Greenlight Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greenlight Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greenlight Capital's related companies.
 2020 2021 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding268.76965.0K911.9K
PTB Ratio0.570.561.1

Story Coverage note for Greenlight Capital

The number of cover stories for Greenlight Capital depends on current market conditions and Greenlight Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greenlight Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greenlight Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Greenlight Capital Short Properties

Greenlight Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Greenlight Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greenlight Capital Re often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greenlight Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greenlight Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments51.1 M

Complementary Tools for Greenlight Stock analysis

When running Greenlight Capital's price analysis, check to measure Greenlight Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenlight Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Greenlight Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenlight Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenlight Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenlight Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets