Global Payments Stock Price Prediction
| GPN Stock | USD 117.05 0.72 0.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.5804 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.8429 | Wall Street Target Price 129.2741 |
Using Global Payments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Payments from the perspective of Global Payments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Global Payments Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Payments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Payments. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Payments' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Payments.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Payments to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Payments after-hype prediction price | USD 117.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Global Payments After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Payments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Payments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Payments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Payments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Payments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Payments' historical news coverage. Global Payments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 115.02 and 119.20, respectively. We have considered Global Payments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Payments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Payments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Payments Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Payments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Payments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Payments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.09 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
117.05 | 117.11 | 0.03 |
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Global Payments Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of November Global Payments is traded for 117.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Global is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 117.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Global Payments is about 1196.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 117.03. The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.65 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.03 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.23 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Global Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Payments Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Payments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Payments' future price movements. Getting to know how Global Payments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Payments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Global Payments Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Payments Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Payments stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Payments, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Payments based on analysis of Global Payments hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Payments's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Payments's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006565 | 0.01 | 0.007839 | 0.008231 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.64 | 3.05 | 3.44 | 2.6 |
Story Coverage note for Global Payments
The number of cover stories for Global Payments depends on current market conditions and Global Payments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Payments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Payments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Payments Short Properties
Global Payments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Payments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Payments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 261.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Check out Global Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Global Stock, please use our How to Invest in Global Payments guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Payments. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Payments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 5.31 | Revenue Per Share 39.009 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
The market value of Global Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Payments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Payments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Payments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.