Warrior Met Coal Stock Price Prediction
| HCC Stock | USD 52.83 0.94 1.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.295 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5081 | Wall Street Target Price 73 |
Using Warrior Met hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Warrior Met Coal from the perspective of Warrior Met response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Warrior Met using Warrior Met's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Warrior using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Warrior Met's stock price.
Warrior Met Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Warrior Met's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Warrior. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Warrior Met stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 62.9793 | Short Percent 0.1552 | Short Ratio 8.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 60.2252 |
Warrior Met Coal Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Warrior Met's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Warrior. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Warrior can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Warrior Met Coal. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Warrior Met's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Warrior Met.
Warrior Met Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Warrior Met's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Warrior Met Coal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Warrior Met's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Warrior Met stock will not fluctuate a lot when Warrior Met's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Warrior Met to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Warrior because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Warrior Met after-hype prediction price | USD 53.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Warrior contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Warrior Met Coal will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Warrior Met trading at USD 52.83, that is roughly USD 0.0208 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Warrior Met's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Warrior Met Coal options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Warrior |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Warrior Met's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Warrior Met After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Warrior Met at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Warrior Met or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Warrior Met, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Warrior Met Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Warrior Met's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Warrior Met's historical news coverage. Warrior Met's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.86 and 56.20, respectively. We have considered Warrior Met's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Warrior Met is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Warrior Met Coal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Warrior Met Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Warrior Met is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Warrior Met backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Warrior Met, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.67 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
52.83 | 53.53 | 0.45 |
|
Warrior Met Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Warrior Met Coal is traded for 52.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Warrior is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Warrior Met is about 297.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.07. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Warrior Met Coal recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.26. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the July 18, 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Warrior Met Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Warrior Met Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Warrior Met's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Warrior Met's future price movements. Getting to know how Warrior Met's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Warrior Met may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SXC | SunCoke Energy | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.07 | 4.91 | (2.62) | 24.26 | |
| ARCH | Arch Resources | 2.60 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.67 | (3.31) | 17.82 | |
| AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources | 1.58 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.48 | (3.09) | 14.25 | |
| AREC | American Resources Corp | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.92 | (8.18) | 51.15 | |
| METC | Ramaco Resources | 0.31 | 9 per month | 3.43 | (0) | 7.56 | (6.37) | 19.55 |
Warrior Met Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Warrior price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Warrior using various technical indicators. When you analyze Warrior charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Warrior Met Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Warrior Met stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Warrior Met Coal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Warrior Met based on analysis of Warrior Met hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Warrior Met's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Warrior Met's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0446 | 0.0193 | 0.0222 | 0.0211 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.03 | 1.89 | 2.17 | 1.91 |
Story Coverage note for Warrior Met
The number of cover stories for Warrior Met depends on current market conditions and Warrior Met's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Warrior Met is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Warrior Met's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Warrior Met Short Properties
Warrior Met's future price predictability will typically decrease when Warrior Met's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Warrior Met Coal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Warrior Met's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warrior Met's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 747.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Warrior Stock analysis
When running Warrior Met's price analysis, check to measure Warrior Met's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warrior Met is operating at the current time. Most of Warrior Met's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warrior Met's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warrior Met's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warrior Met to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences |