Jumia Technologies Ag Stock Price Patterns
| JMIA Stock | USD 13.37 0.41 2.98% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.25) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 11.3001 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.251 |
Using Jumia Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jumia Technologies AG from the perspective of Jumia Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jumia Technologies using Jumia Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jumia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jumia Technologies' stock price.
Jumia Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Jumia Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Jumia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Jumia Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 5.6189 | Short Percent 0.0375 | Short Ratio 1.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 6 M | 50 Day MA 11.0898 |
Jumia Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jumia Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jumia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jumia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jumia Technologies AG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jumia Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jumia Technologies.
Jumia Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Jumia Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jumia Technologies AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jumia Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jumia Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jumia Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jumia Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jumia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jumia Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 13.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jumia contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jumia Technologies AG will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Jumia Technologies trading at USD 13.37, that is roughly USD 0.008774 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jumia Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jumia Technologies AG options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Jumia Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Jumia Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jumia Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jumia Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jumia Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jumia Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jumia Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jumia Technologies' historical news coverage. Jumia Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.49 and 17.53, respectively. We have considered Jumia Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jumia Technologies is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jumia Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jumia Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jumia Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jumia Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jumia Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 4.02 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.37 | 13.51 | 1.05 |
|
Jumia Technologies Hype Timeline
Jumia Technologies is currently traded for 13.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Jumia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Jumia Technologies is about 1887.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.46. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 167.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (97.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90.61 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Jumia Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jumia Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jumia Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jumia Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Jumia Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jumia Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBW | Build A Bear Workshop | 1.57 | 11 per month | 3.80 | 0.04 | 4.68 | (4.37) | 25.04 | |
| YSG | Yatsen Holding | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.79 | (7.99) | 38.70 | |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings | 0.13 | 9 per month | 3.47 | 0.12 | 7.21 | (6.31) | 27.71 | |
| HEPS | D MARKET Electronic Services | (0.01) | 8 per month | 4.87 | 0.04 | 3.23 | (4.94) | 61.70 | |
| HZO | MarineMax | (0.34) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.76 | (4.52) | 16.01 | |
| LQDT | Liquidity Services | 0.74 | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.14 | 3.68 | (2.98) | 16.86 | |
| ZKH | ZKH Group Limited | 0.12 | 9 per month | 2.82 | 0.06 | 6.38 | (3.63) | 25.66 | |
| CARS | Cars Inc | 0.14 | 9 per month | 1.98 | 0.01 | 3.99 | (3.44) | 10.98 | |
| SFIX | Stitch Fix | 0.05 | 12 per month | 3.70 | 0.02 | 6.80 | (6.20) | 19.91 | |
| CANG | Cango Inc | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.83 | (7.64) | 25.75 |
Jumia Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jumia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jumia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jumia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jumia Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jumia Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jumia Technologies AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jumia Technologies based on analysis of Jumia Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jumia Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jumia Technologies's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 52.15 | 42.99 | 49.44 | 53.48 | PTB Ratio | 5.14 | 2.69 | 3.1 | 2.94 |
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When running Jumia Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Jumia Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jumia Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Jumia Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jumia Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jumia Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jumia Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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