Kenon Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| KEN Stock | USD 72.39 3.26 4.31% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | Wall Street Target Price 29.85 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.083 |
Using Kenon Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kenon Holdings from the perspective of Kenon Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kenon Holdings using Kenon Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kenon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kenon Holdings' stock price.
Kenon Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Kenon Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kenon Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kenon Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kenon Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kenon Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kenon Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kenon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kenon Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 72.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kenon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kenon Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kenon Holdings trading at USD 72.39, that is roughly USD 0.0267 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kenon Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kenon Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Kenon Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kenon Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kenon Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kenon Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kenon Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kenon Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kenon Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kenon Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kenon Holdings' historical news coverage. Kenon Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.50 and 74.32, respectively. We have considered Kenon Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kenon Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kenon Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kenon Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kenon Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kenon Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kenon Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 1.91 | 0.15 | 0.35 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.39 | 72.41 | 0.21 |
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Kenon Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Kenon Holdings is traded for 72.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.35. Kenon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 72.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Kenon Holdings is about 353.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.04. The company reported the last year's revenue of 751.3 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 634.09 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 210.43 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Kenon Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kenon Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kenon Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kenon Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Kenon Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kenon Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AWR | American States Water | 0.11 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.53 | (1.87) | 5.99 | |
| RNW | Renew Energy Global | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.78 | (3.95) | 29.93 | |
| CWT | California Water Service | (0.16) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.22 | (2.85) | 7.55 | |
| FLNC | Fluence Energy | (1.04) | 11 per month | 5.28 | 0.17 | 13.24 | (7.83) | 37.18 | |
| EE | Excelerate Energy | 0.50 | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.22 | 3.54 | (2.93) | 10.67 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | (1.45) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.41 | (1.90) | 4.52 | |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.99 | (2.41) | 5.00 | |
| AVA | Avista | (0.14) | 12 per month | 1.02 | 0.01 | 1.71 | (1.74) | 5.72 | |
| CEPU | Central Puerto SA | (1.17) | 10 per month | 1.88 | 0.17 | 7.75 | (4.23) | 44.62 | |
| OTTR | Otter Tail | (1.67) | 7 per month | 1.02 | 0.07 | 2.02 | (1.87) | 7.91 |
Kenon Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kenon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kenon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kenon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kenon Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kenon Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kenon Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kenon Holdings based on analysis of Kenon Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kenon Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kenon Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.22 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.96 | 2.15 | 1.86 |
Pair Trading with Kenon Holdings
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Kenon Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kenon Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Kenon Stock
Moving against Kenon Stock
| 0.83 | GIP | Green Impact Partners | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | REVV | ReVolve Renewable Power | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | VST | Vistra Energy Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corp Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | LGI | LGI | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | 001289 | China Longyuan Power | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Kenon Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Kenon Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Kenon Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Kenon Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Kenon Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Kenon Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Kenon Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Kenon Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Kenon Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kenon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kenon Holdings guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector continue expanding? Could Kenon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kenon Holdings. Expected growth trajectory for Kenon significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Kenon Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | Dividend Share 4.8 | Earnings Share (1.65) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.083 |
Investors evaluate Kenon Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Kenon Holdings' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Kenon Holdings' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kenon Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kenon Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Kenon Holdings' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.