Chicago Atlantic Bdc Stock Price Prediction
| LIEN Stock | 10.71 0.14 1.32% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.808 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.35 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.45 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.49 | Wall Street Target Price 11 |
Using Chicago Atlantic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chicago Atlantic BDC from the perspective of Chicago Atlantic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chicago Atlantic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chicago because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chicago Atlantic after-hype prediction price | USD 10.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Chicago Atlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chicago Atlantic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chicago Atlantic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chicago Atlantic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chicago Atlantic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chicago Atlantic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chicago Atlantic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chicago Atlantic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chicago Atlantic's historical news coverage. Chicago Atlantic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.23 and 12.19, respectively. We have considered Chicago Atlantic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chicago Atlantic is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chicago Atlantic BDC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chicago Atlantic Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chicago Atlantic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chicago Atlantic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chicago Atlantic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.48 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 30 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 30 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.71 | 10.71 | 0.00 |
|
Chicago Atlantic Hype Timeline
Chicago Atlantic BDC is now traded for 10.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Chicago is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chicago Atlantic is about 9250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.71. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Chicago Atlantic BDC last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 30 days. Check out Chicago Atlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chicago Atlantic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chicago Atlantic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chicago Atlantic's future price movements. Getting to know how Chicago Atlantic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chicago Atlantic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPVG | Triplepoint Venture Growth | 0.05 | 12 per month | 1.52 | 0.07 | 2.51 | (2.58) | 8.89 | |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0.06 | 4.27 | (3.42) | 17.41 | |
| MPV | Barings Participation Investors | (1.05) | 7 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 2.69 | (3.22) | 9.22 | |
| SWKH | SWK Holdings Corp | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.03 | 1.59 | (1.31) | 9.41 | |
| MLCI | Mount Logan Capital | 0.22 | 7 per month | 2.49 | 0.03 | 4.10 | (4.51) | 17.11 | |
| TONX | TON Strategy Co | 0.56 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.52 | (10.10) | 31.21 | |
| GIWWU | GigInternational1 Unit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp | 0.06 | 12 per month | 1.64 | (0.03) | 3.54 | (2.68) | 9.48 | |
| NEWT | Newtek Business Services | 0.08 | 7 per month | 1.78 | 0.15 | 4.67 | (3.09) | 13.38 | |
| GSRF | GSR IV Acquisition | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.70) | 0.10 | (0.20) | 0.50 |
Chicago Atlantic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chicago price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chicago using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chicago charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chicago Atlantic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chicago Atlantic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chicago Atlantic BDC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chicago Atlantic based on analysis of Chicago Atlantic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chicago Atlantic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chicago Atlantic's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0985 | 0.11 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.02 | 8.07 | 7.67 |
Pair Trading with Chicago Atlantic
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chicago Atlantic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chicago Atlantic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Chicago Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chicago Atlantic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chicago Atlantic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chicago Atlantic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chicago Atlantic BDC to buy it.
The correlation of Chicago Atlantic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chicago Atlantic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chicago Atlantic BDC moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chicago Atlantic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Chicago Atlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Chicago diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chicago Atlantic. Expected growth trajectory for Chicago significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Chicago Atlantic data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.808 | Dividend Share 1.36 | Earnings Share 1.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.745 |
Investors evaluate Chicago Atlantic BDC using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Chicago Atlantic's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Chicago Atlantic's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Chicago Atlantic's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Chicago Atlantic represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Chicago Atlantic's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.