Latam Airlines Group Stock Price Patterns
| LTM Stock | USD 59.71 1.52 2.48% |
Momentum 77
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.875 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1295 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.9387 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7555 | Wall Street Target Price 69.3667 |
Using LATAM Airlines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LATAM Airlines Group from the perspective of LATAM Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LATAM Airlines using LATAM Airlines' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LATAM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LATAM Airlines' stock price.
LATAM Airlines Short Interest
An investor who is long LATAM Airlines may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about LATAM Airlines and may potentially protect profits, hedge LATAM Airlines with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.5078 | Short Percent 0.0237 | Short Ratio 2.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 58.049 |
LATAM Airlines Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LATAM Airlines' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LATAM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LATAM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LATAM Airlines Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LATAM Airlines' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LATAM Airlines.
LATAM Airlines Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
LATAM Airlines' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LATAM Airlines Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LATAM Airlines' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LATAM Airlines stock will not fluctuate a lot when LATAM Airlines' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LATAM Airlines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LATAM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LATAM Airlines after-hype prediction price | USD 61.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LATAM contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LATAM Airlines Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With LATAM Airlines trading at USD 59.71, that is roughly USD 0.0257 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LATAM Airlines' daily price movement you should consider acquiring LATAM Airlines Group options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out LATAM Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LATAM Airlines' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LATAM Airlines After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LATAM Airlines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LATAM Airlines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LATAM Airlines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LATAM Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LATAM Airlines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LATAM Airlines' historical news coverage. LATAM Airlines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.90 and 63.14, respectively. We have considered LATAM Airlines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LATAM Airlines is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LATAM Airlines Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
LATAM Airlines Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LATAM Airlines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LATAM Airlines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LATAM Airlines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.12 | 1.31 | 0.14 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
59.71 | 61.02 | 2.19 |
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LATAM Airlines Hype Timeline
On the 16th of February 2026 LATAM Airlines Group is traded for 59.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. LATAM is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 61.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 80.61%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.19%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on LATAM Airlines is about 773.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.57. LATAM Airlines Group has 8.09 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.31, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out LATAM Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LATAM Airlines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LATAM Airlines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LATAM Airlines' future price movements. Getting to know how LATAM Airlines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LATAM Airlines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RYAAY | Ryanair Holdings PLC | (0.06) | 8 per month | 1.81 | (0.01) | 2.61 | (3.01) | 9.49 | |
| PAC | Grupo Aeroportuario del | 0.12 | 7 per month | 1.26 | 0.21 | 2.74 | (2.27) | 10.54 | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport | (2.29) | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.21 | 4.20 | (1.74) | 9.79 | |
| ASR | Grupo Aeroportuario del | (3.73) | 7 per month | 0.83 | 0.22 | 2.48 | (1.73) | 6.58 | |
| BAH | Booz Allen Hamilton | 0.44 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.23 | (5.15) | 18.05 | |
| JOBY | Joby Aviation | (0.25) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.72 | (6.65) | 28.38 | |
| ZTO | ZTO Express | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.24 | 2.83 | (1.81) | 7.33 | |
| AAL | American Airlines Group | 0.16 | 7 per month | 2.46 | 0.01 | 3.76 | (4.06) | 12.59 | |
| CNH | CNH Industrial NV | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.30 | 0.18 | 4.14 | (2.66) | 8.25 | |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | 2.82 | 11 per month | 1.22 | 0.19 | 3.71 | (2.45) | 7.77 |
LATAM Airlines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LATAM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LATAM using various technical indicators. When you analyze LATAM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LATAM Airlines Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LATAM Airlines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LATAM Airlines Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LATAM Airlines based on analysis of LATAM Airlines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LATAM Airlines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LATAM Airlines's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.04 | 0.0201 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.06 | 1.01 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out LATAM Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Will Passenger Airlines sector continue expanding? Could LATAM diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LATAM Airlines. Expected growth trajectory for LATAM significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every LATAM Airlines data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.875 | Earnings Share 4.96 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.161 | Return On Assets |
The market value of LATAM Airlines Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LATAM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LATAM Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LATAM Airlines' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because LATAM Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LATAM Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LATAM Airlines' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LATAM Airlines represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, LATAM Airlines' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.