Masco Stock Price Prediction
| MAS Stock | USD 78.33 1.32 1.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.0933 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.4373 | Wall Street Target Price 87.2239 |
Using Masco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Masco from the perspective of Masco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Masco Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Masco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Masco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Masco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Masco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Masco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Masco.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Masco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Masco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Masco after-hype prediction price | USD 78.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Masco |
Masco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Masco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Masco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Masco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Masco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Masco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Masco's historical news coverage. Masco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.28 and 79.38, respectively. We have considered Masco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Masco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Masco is based on 3 months time horizon.
Masco Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Masco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Masco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Masco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.33 | 78.33 | 0.00 |
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Masco Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Masco is traded for 78.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Masco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Masco is about 137.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.35. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. Masco last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. The entity had 1138:1000 split on the 1st of July 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Masco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Masco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Masco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Masco's future price movements. Getting to know how Masco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Masco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TT | Trane Technologies plc | (0.07) | 10 per month | 1.24 | 0.11 | 2.36 | (1.84) | 6.50 | |
| NX | Quanex Building Products | (0.21) | 11 per month | 2.56 | 0.02 | 4.43 | (2.75) | 32.55 | |
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | 0.37 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.93 | (5.43) | 37.15 | |
| AZEK | Azek Company | (0.41) | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.09 | 3.48 | (2.33) | 9.05 | |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corp | (0.37) | 10 per month | 1.83 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (1.87) | 11.86 | |
| LII | Lennox International | 19.47 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.05 | 2.66 | (2.28) | 7.45 | |
| OC | Owens Corning | 2.22 | 10 per month | 1.48 | 0.11 | 3.38 | (2.45) | 10.42 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | (0.93) | 11 per month | 0.82 | 0.11 | 2.49 | (1.66) | 10.49 | |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | (1.95) | 11 per month | 1.88 | 0.01 | 2.58 | (1.93) | 12.15 | |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations | 3.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.50 | (2.72) | 10.07 | |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems | (14.83) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.12 | (3.58) | 19.69 | |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries | 2.77 | 7 per month | 1.63 | (0.01) | 2.88 | (2.19) | 8.68 |
Masco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Masco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Masco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Masco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Masco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Masco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Masco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Masco based on analysis of Masco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Masco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Masco's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0121 | 0.0239 | 0.0171 | 0.0275 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.09 | 1.24 | 1.89 | 1.41 |
Story Coverage note for Masco
The number of cover stories for Masco depends on current market conditions and Masco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Masco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Masco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Masco Short Properties
Masco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Masco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Masco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Masco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Masco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 634 M |
Additional Tools for Masco Stock Analysis
When running Masco's price analysis, check to measure Masco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Masco is operating at the current time. Most of Masco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Masco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Masco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Masco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.