Merchants Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| MBINM Stock | USD 26.25 0.21 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
Using Merchants Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Merchants Bancorp from the perspective of Merchants Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Merchants Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Merchants because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Merchants Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 26.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Merchants |
Merchants Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Merchants Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Merchants Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Merchants Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Merchants Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Merchants Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Merchants Bancorp's historical news coverage. Merchants Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.44 and 27.02, respectively. We have considered Merchants Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Merchants Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Merchants Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Merchants Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Merchants Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Merchants Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Merchants Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.25 | 26.23 | 0.08 |
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Merchants Bancorp Hype Timeline
Merchants Bancorp is now traded for 26.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Merchants is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Merchants Bancorp is about 2294.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.25. About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Merchants Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Merchants Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Merchants Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Merchants Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Merchants Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Merchants Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBINO | Merchants Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.40 | (0.28) | 1.20 | |
| MSBIP | Midland States Bancorp | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.41 | (0.22) | 0.92 | (0.79) | 2.08 | |
| MBINN | Merchants Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0 | 1.85 | (1.88) | 7.67 | |
| MBINP | Merchants Bancorp PR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | (0.03) | 3.55 | (4.94) | 11.23 | |
| PACWP | PacWest Bancorp | 0.23 | 2 per month | 10.08 | 0.07 | 13.02 | (11.06) | 63.67 |
Merchants Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Merchants price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merchants using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merchants charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Merchants Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Merchants Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Merchants Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merchants Bancorp based on analysis of Merchants Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Merchants Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Merchants Bancorp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0229 | 0.0363 | 0.0264 | 0.0188 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.17 | 2.46 | 3.52 | 3.99 |
Story Coverage note for Merchants Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Merchants Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Merchants Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Merchants Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Merchants Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Merchants Bancorp Short Properties
Merchants Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Merchants Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Merchants Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Merchants Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merchants Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 584.4 M |
Check out Merchants Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Merchants Stock, please use our How to Invest in Merchants Bancorp guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. If investors know Merchants will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merchants Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Dividend Share 0.35 | Revenue Per Share 13.735 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.0172 |
The market value of Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merchants that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merchants Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merchants Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merchants Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merchants Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merchants Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Merchants Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.