Mge Energy Stock Price Prediction
| MGEE Stock | USD 89.44 1.02 1.13% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.079 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.435 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.84 | Wall Street Target Price 76.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
Using MGE Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MGE Energy from the perspective of MGE Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MGE Energy using MGE Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MGE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MGE Energy's stock price.
MGE Energy Implied Volatility | 0.32 |
MGE Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MGE Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MGE Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MGE Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when MGE Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MGE Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MGE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MGE Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 89.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MGE contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MGE Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.02% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With MGE Energy trading at USD 89.44, that is roughly USD 0.0179 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MGE Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MGE Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
MGE |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MGE Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MGE Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MGE Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MGE Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MGE Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MGE Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MGE Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MGE Energy's historical news coverage. MGE Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.45 and 90.59, respectively. We have considered MGE Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MGE Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MGE Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
MGE Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MGE Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MGE Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MGE Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.57 | 0.42 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
89.44 | 89.02 | 0.47 |
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MGE Energy Hype Timeline
MGE Energy is now traded for 89.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. MGE is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 89.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 89.2%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on MGE Energy is about 1162.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.47. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of MGE Energy was now reported as 33.01. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2025. MGE Energy had 3:2 split on the 10th of February 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out MGE Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MGE Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MGE Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MGE Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how MGE Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MGE Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.97 | 7 per month | 1.06 | 0.05 | 1.80 | (1.82) | 4.61 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.12 | 1.92 | (1.83) | 6.01 | |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | 1.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.56 | (1.75) | 4.71 | |
| EVRG | Evergy, | 0.19 | 7 per month | 0.74 | 0.12 | 1.49 | (1.59) | 3.61 | |
| POR | Portland General Electric | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.60 | (1.86) | 6.60 | |
| PNM | PNM Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OGE | OGE Energy | 0.28 | 11 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 1.86 | (2.67) | 5.39 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | (0.71) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.41 | (1.56) | 6.41 | |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.74 | 12 per month | 0.99 | 0.09 | 2.09 | (1.88) | 6.88 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | (0.22) | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.14 | 1.75 | (1.73) | 4.93 | |
| CNP | CenterPoint Energy | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.79 | 0.13 | 2.46 | (1.73) | 4.85 | |
| AGR | Avangrid | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
MGE Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MGE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MGE using various technical indicators. When you analyze MGE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MGE Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MGE Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MGE Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MGE Energy based on analysis of MGE Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MGE Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MGE Energy's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0226 | 0.0231 | 0.0266 | 0.0417 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.56 | 3.79 | 3.41 | 3.58 |
Story Coverage note for MGE Energy
The number of cover stories for MGE Energy depends on current market conditions and MGE Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MGE Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MGE Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MGE Energy Short Properties
MGE Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when MGE Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MGE Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MGE Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MGE Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.1 M |
Complementary Tools for MGE Stock analysis
When running MGE Energy's price analysis, check to measure MGE Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGE Energy is operating at the current time. Most of MGE Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGE Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGE Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGE Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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