3m Company Stock Price Prediction
| MMM Stock | USD 127.32 0.52 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.71 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.2903 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.9337 | Wall Street Target Price 146.6017 |
Using 3M hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 3M Company from the perspective of 3M response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards 3M using 3M's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards 3M using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of 3M's stock price.
3M Short Interest
An investor who is long 3M may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about 3M and may potentially protect profits, hedge 3M with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 108.866 | Short Percent 0.0129 | Short Ratio 1.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.3 M | 50 Day MA 132.7508 |
3M Company Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to 3M's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in 3M. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding 3M can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around 3M Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of 3M's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about 3M.
3M Implied Volatility | 0.91 |
3M's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of 3M Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if 3M's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that 3M stock will not fluctuate a lot when 3M's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in 3M to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying 3M because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
3M after-hype prediction price | USD 127.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current 3M contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that 3M Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0569% per day over the life of the 2024-11-22 option contract. With 3M trading at USD 127.32, that is roughly USD 0.0724 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating 3M's daily price movement you should consider acquiring 3M Company options at the current volatility level of 0.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
3M |
3M After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 3M at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 3M or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 3M, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
3M Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 3M's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 3M's historical news coverage. 3M's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 125.90 and 128.76, respectively. We have considered 3M's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3M is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 3M Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
3M Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 3M is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 3M backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 3M, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.42 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
127.32 | 127.33 | 0.01 |
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3M Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November 3M Company is traded for 127.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. 3M is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 127.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 140.59%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on 3M is about 1690.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 127.32. The company reported the last year's revenue of 32.68 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (6.98 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 15 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out 3M Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.3M Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 3M's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 3M's future price movements. Getting to know how 3M's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 3M may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCRYX | Small Cap Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 2.39 | (1.69) | 7.88 | |
| FTLF | FitLife Brands, Common | 0.14 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0.02) | 3.21 | (2.29) | 14.26 | |
| MURIX | Mutual Of America | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.80 | (0.93) | 3.44 | |
| GFL | Gfl Environmental Holdings | (0.41) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.02 | 2.97 | (2.29) | 7.37 | |
| SVII | Spring Valley Acquisition | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.39 | (0.17) | 0.44 | (0.53) | 4.77 | |
| VLSMX | Valic Company I | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | (0.16) | 0.77 | (0.76) | 2.22 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.52 | (5.41) | 14.93 | |
| KNF | Knife River | 1.35 | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.15 | 4.01 | (2.46) | 12.96 | |
| AMYZF | American Manganese | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.41 | (8.75) | 21.04 | |
| FPCG | First Physicians Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
3M Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 3M price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 3M using various technical indicators. When you analyze 3M charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About 3M Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of 3M stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as 3M Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of 3M based on analysis of 3M hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to 3M's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to 3M's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0398 | 0.0594 | 0.0654 | 0.0687 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.43 | 1.66 | 1.55 | 1.62 |
Story Coverage note for 3M
The number of cover stories for 3M depends on current market conditions and 3M's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 3M is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 3M's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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3M Short Properties
3M's future price predictability will typically decrease when 3M's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 3M Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 3M's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 3M's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 553.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 B |
Check out 3M Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Industrial Conglomerates space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 3M. If investors know 3M will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 3M listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 4.41 | Earnings Share 9.59 | Revenue Per Share 58.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of 3M Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 3M that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 3M's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 3M's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 3M's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 3M's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 3M's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 3M is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 3M's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.