Mid Penn Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| MPB Stock | USD 29.02 0.06 0.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.328 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.68 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.82 | Wall Street Target Price 36.5 |
Using Mid Penn hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mid Penn Bancorp from the perspective of Mid Penn response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mid Penn using Mid Penn's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mid using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mid Penn's stock price.
Mid Penn Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Mid Penn's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mid Penn Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mid Penn's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mid Penn stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mid Penn's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mid Penn to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mid because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mid Penn after-hype prediction price | USD 28.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Mid contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Mid Penn Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Mid Penn trading at USD 29.02, that is roughly USD 0.014 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Mid Penn's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Mid Penn Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Mid |
Mid Penn After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mid Penn at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mid Penn or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mid Penn, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mid Penn Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mid Penn's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mid Penn's historical news coverage. Mid Penn's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.32 and 30.66, respectively. We have considered Mid Penn's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mid Penn is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mid Penn Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mid Penn Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mid Penn is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mid Penn backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mid Penn, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.67 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.02 | 28.99 | 0.10 |
|
Mid Penn Hype Timeline
On the 20th of January Mid Penn Bancorp is traded for 29.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Mid is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Mid Penn is about 1242.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.01. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mid Penn Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. The entity had 105:100 split on the 7th of May 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Mid Penn Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mid Penn Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mid Penn's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mid Penn's future price movements. Getting to know how Mid Penn's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mid Penn may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Mid Penn Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mid Penn Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mid Penn stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mid Penn Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mid Penn based on analysis of Mid Penn hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mid Penn's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mid Penn's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0267 | 0.0328 | 0.0377 | 0.04 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.82 | 2.43 | 2.79 | 5.47 |
Story Coverage note for Mid Penn
The number of cover stories for Mid Penn depends on current market conditions and Mid Penn's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mid Penn is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mid Penn's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Mid Penn Short Properties
Mid Penn's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mid Penn's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mid Penn Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mid Penn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mid Penn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 96.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Mid Stock analysis
When running Mid Penn's price analysis, check to measure Mid Penn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mid Penn is operating at the current time. Most of Mid Penn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mid Penn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mid Penn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mid Penn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios |