Mvb Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction

MVBF Stock  USD 21.58  0.05  0.23%   
As of 30th of November 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of MVB Financial's share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MVB Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MVB Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MVB Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MVB Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MVB Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MVB Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.45)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.39
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.0367
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.7167
Wall Street Target Price
24
Using MVB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MVB Financial Corp from the perspective of MVB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MVB Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MVB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

MVB Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out MVB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5024.8628.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.1721.5324.89
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.2828.8832.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.240.350.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MVB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MVB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MVB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MVB Financial Corp.

MVB Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MVB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MVB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MVB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MVB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MVB Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MVB Financial's historical news coverage. MVB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.15 and 24.87, respectively. We have considered MVB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.58
21.51
After-hype Price
24.87
Upside
MVB Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MVB Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

MVB Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MVB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MVB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MVB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
3.36
  0.07 
  0.05 
7 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.58
21.51
0.32 
714.89  
Notes

MVB Financial Hype Timeline

MVB Financial Corp is now traded for 21.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. MVB is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on MVB Financial is about 877.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.63. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MVB Financial Corp last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of April 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out MVB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MVB Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MVB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MVB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how MVB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MVB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)10 per month 1.12 (0.0005) 2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.36 (1.13) 4.32 
CFBKCF Bankshares 3.13 7 per month 1.76  0.14  6.00 (2.78) 12.35 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
FCCOFirst Community 1.72 7 per month 1.02  0.08  3.05 (2.20) 10.76 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.75 (0.02) 4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.48 8 per month 2.02 (0.01) 6.30 (4.11) 14.42 
CIVBCivista Bancshares(0.01)9 per month 0.94  0.18  3.67 (1.94) 10.55 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.75  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
HFWAHeritage Financial 0.01 7 per month 1.58  0.05  2.91 (2.17) 19.67 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 

MVB Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MVB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MVB using various technical indicators. When you analyze MVB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About MVB Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of MVB Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MVB Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MVB Financial based on analysis of MVB Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MVB Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MVB Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01240.03090.03020.0317
Price To Sales Ratio3.51.81.981.88

Story Coverage note for MVB Financial

The number of cover stories for MVB Financial depends on current market conditions and MVB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MVB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MVB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MVB Financial Short Properties

MVB Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when MVB Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MVB Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MVB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MVB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13 M
Cash And Short Term Investments398.2 M

Complementary Tools for MVB Stock analysis

When running MVB Financial's price analysis, check to measure MVB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MVB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of MVB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MVB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MVB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MVB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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