MVB Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MVBF Stock  USD 25.81  0.19  0.73%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MVB Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.74. MVB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MVB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of MVB Financial's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MVB Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MVB Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MVB Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MVB Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MVB Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.25
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.35
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.5175
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.9875
Wall Street Target Price
31.5
Using MVB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MVB Financial Corp from the perspective of MVB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MVB Financial using MVB Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MVB using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MVB Financial's stock price.

MVB Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.89  
MVB Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MVB Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MVB Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MVB Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when MVB Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MVB Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.74.

MVB Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MVB Financial to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, MVB Financial's Payables Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The MVB Financial's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.84, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.77. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 8.2 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 10.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MVB Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MVB Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MVB Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MVB Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MVB Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to MVB Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MVB Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MVB. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

MVB Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MVB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MVB using various technical indicators. When you analyze MVB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

MVB Financial Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the MVB Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2003-12-31
Previous Quarter
399.4 M
Current Value
300 M
Quarterly Volatility
162.5 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for MVB Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of MVB Financial Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

MVB Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MVB Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MVB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MVB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MVB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MVB FinancialMVB Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

MVB Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MVB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MVB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.41 and 27.00, respectively. We have considered MVB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.81
25.21
Expected Value
27.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MVB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MVB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7586
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4635
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors28.7399
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of MVB Financial Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict MVB Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for MVB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MVB Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0125.8127.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2328.8830.68
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.6731.5034.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.410.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MVB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MVB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MVB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MVB Financial Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for MVB Financial

For every potential investor in MVB, whether a beginner or expert, MVB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MVB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MVB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MVB Financial's price trends.

MVB Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MVB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MVB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MVB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MVB Financial Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MVB Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MVB Financial's current price.

MVB Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MVB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MVB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MVB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MVB Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MVB Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of MVB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MVB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mvb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether MVB Financial Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze MVB Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MVB Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MVB Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MVB Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MVB Financial. If investors know MVB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MVB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.25
Dividend Share
0.68
Earnings Share
2.45
Revenue Per Share
13.06
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.758
The market value of MVB Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MVB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MVB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MVB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MVB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MVB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MVB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MVB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MVB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.