Orrstown Financial Services Stock Price Prediction
| ORRF Stock | USD 40.10 0.39 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
72
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.96 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.8967 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3433 | Wall Street Target Price 43.6667 |
Using Orrstown Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orrstown Financial Services from the perspective of Orrstown Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Orrstown Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Orrstown because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Orrstown Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 40.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Orrstown |
Orrstown Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Orrstown Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orrstown Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Orrstown Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Orrstown Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Orrstown Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orrstown Financial's historical news coverage. Orrstown Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.36 and 41.90, respectively. We have considered Orrstown Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Orrstown Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orrstown Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Orrstown Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orrstown Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orrstown Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orrstown Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.75 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.10 | 40.13 | 0.07 |
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Orrstown Financial Hype Timeline
Orrstown Financial is now traded for 40.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Orrstown is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 40.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Orrstown Financial is about 8125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.10. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 149.9 M. Net Income was 35.66 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 122.34 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Orrstown Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Orrstown Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Orrstown Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orrstown Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Orrstown Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orrstown Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.75 | (4.31) | 17.43 | |
| LNKB | LINKBANCORP | (0.09) | 6 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 4.29 | (2.70) | 10.82 | |
| RBKB | Rhinebeck Bancorp | (0.07) | 3 per month | 1.14 | 0.07 | 4.15 | (2.65) | 9.98 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.38 | (0.01) | 3.69 | (3.23) | 8.55 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.10 | 0.02 | 2.53 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | (0.64) | 3 per month | 1.51 | 0.08 | 4.78 | (2.77) | 11.90 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| FCCO | First Community | 1.72 | 7 per month | 1.02 | 0.07 | 3.05 | (2.20) | 10.76 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.76 | (0.13) | 1.65 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| CVLY | Codorus Valley Bancorp | 0.21 | 7 per month | 0.73 | 0.02 | 2.06 | (1.68) | 6.38 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.45 | (0.21) | 0.71 | (0.65) | 4.44 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 |
Orrstown Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Orrstown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orrstown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orrstown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Orrstown Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Orrstown Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Orrstown Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orrstown Financial based on analysis of Orrstown Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Orrstown Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Orrstown Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.03 | 0.0338 | 0.0278 | 0.0183 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.38 | 189.9 | 2.03 | 1.93 |
Story Coverage note for Orrstown Financial
The number of cover stories for Orrstown Financial depends on current market conditions and Orrstown Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orrstown Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orrstown Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Orrstown Financial Short Properties
Orrstown Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Orrstown Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Orrstown Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Orrstown Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orrstown Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 546.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Orrstown Stock analysis
When running Orrstown Financial's price analysis, check to measure Orrstown Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orrstown Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Orrstown Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orrstown Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orrstown Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orrstown Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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