Pennymac Mortgage Investment Stock Price Patterns
| PMT Stock | USD 12.11 0.02 0.16% |
Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PennyMac Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PennyMac Mortgage Investment from the perspective of PennyMac Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PennyMac Mortgage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PennyMac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PennyMac Mortgage after-hype prediction price | USD 12.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out PennyMac Mortgage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. PennyMac Mortgage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PennyMac Mortgage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PennyMac Mortgage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PennyMac Mortgage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PennyMac Mortgage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PennyMac Mortgage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PennyMac Mortgage's historical news coverage. PennyMac Mortgage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.10 and 14.20, respectively. We have considered PennyMac Mortgage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PennyMac Mortgage is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PennyMac Mortgage is based on 3 months time horizon.
PennyMac Mortgage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PennyMac Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PennyMac Mortgage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PennyMac Mortgage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.11 | 12.15 | 0.08 |
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PennyMac Mortgage Hype Timeline
On the 25th of February PennyMac Mortgage is traded for 12.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PennyMac is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on PennyMac Mortgage is about 7026.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.11. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.74 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 127.87 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 597.74 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out PennyMac Mortgage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PennyMac Mortgage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PennyMac Mortgage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. Getting to know how PennyMac Mortgage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PennyMac Mortgage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.06 | 2.07 | (1.69) | 7.23 | |
| NYMT | New York Mortgage | 0.26 | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.03 | 2.82 | (2.47) | 8.91 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.44 | (3.02) | 11.70 | |
| EARN | Ellington Residential Mortgage | (0.04) | 6 per month | 1.37 | (0.04) | 1.78 | (2.68) | 6.47 | |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | (0.04) | 3.51 | (2.92) | 16.95 | |
| DX | Dynex Capital | 0.16 | 9 per month | 1.05 | (0.05) | 1.38 | (1.08) | 7.46 | |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.97 | (0.02) | 5.62 | (5.60) | 25.79 | |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.09 | (1.62) | 5.17 | |
| RWT | Redwood Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.03 | 3.26 | (2.79) | 23.37 |
PennyMac Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PennyMac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PennyMac using various technical indicators. When you analyze PennyMac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PennyMac Mortgage Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PennyMac Mortgage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PennyMac Mortgage Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PennyMac Mortgage based on analysis of PennyMac Mortgage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PennyMac Mortgage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PennyMac Mortgage's related companies.
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Additional Tools for PennyMac Stock Analysis
When running PennyMac Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure PennyMac Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PennyMac Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of PennyMac Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PennyMac Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PennyMac Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.