Sunrun Inc Stock Price Patterns
| RUN Stock | USD 19.00 0.76 3.85% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.957 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1594 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3532 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4798 | Wall Street Target Price 22.185 |
Using Sunrun hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunrun Inc from the perspective of Sunrun response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sunrun using Sunrun's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sunrun using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sunrun's stock price.
Sunrun Short Interest
An investor who is long Sunrun may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sunrun and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sunrun with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.4132 | Short Percent 0.3027 | Short Ratio 9.38 | Shares Short Prior Month 59.6 M | 50 Day MA 18.6664 |
Sunrun Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sunrun's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sunrun. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sunrun can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sunrun Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sunrun's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sunrun.
Sunrun Implied Volatility | 1.26 |
Sunrun's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunrun Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunrun's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunrun stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunrun's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunrun to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunrun because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sunrun after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sunrun contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sunrun Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0788% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sunrun trading at USD 19.0, that is roughly USD 0.015 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sunrun's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sunrun Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Sunrun Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunrun's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sunrun After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sunrun at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunrun or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunrun, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sunrun Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sunrun's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunrun's historical news coverage. Sunrun's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 4.70, respectively. We have considered Sunrun's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sunrun is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunrun Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sunrun Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunrun is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunrun backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunrun, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 4.70 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|
Sunrun Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Sunrun Inc is traded for 19.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Sunrun is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sunrun is about 1696.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.97. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sunrun Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. The entity recorded a loss per share of 10.89. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Sunrun Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sunrun Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sunrun's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunrun's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunrun's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunrun may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENPH | Enphase Energy | 3.54 | 8 per month | 3.71 | 0.01 | 5.30 | (5.49) | 18.02 | |
| SEDG | SolarEdge Technologies | (1.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.69 | (7.78) | 43.24 | |
| FRO | Frontline | (0.82) | 9 per month | 2.31 | 0.11 | 3.67 | (3.95) | 13.55 | |
| CNR | Core Natural Resources | (0.82) | 16 per month | 2.30 | 0.08 | 4.98 | (3.37) | 17.65 | |
| NOV | NOV Inc | (0.11) | 12 per month | 1.87 | 0.16 | 4.99 | (3.46) | 12.79 | |
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corp | (0.12) | 8 per month | 2.05 | 0.05 | 3.53 | (3.61) | 9.20 | |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | (0.82) | 18 per month | 1.79 | 0.17 | 3.82 | (3.38) | 13.20 | |
| MTDR | Matador Resources | (0.82) | 3 per month | 2.00 | 0.09 | 3.10 | (4.01) | 9.03 | |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corp | (0.82) | 12 per month | 1.60 | 0.12 | 3.38 | (2.77) | 8.32 | |
| VVV | Valvoline | (0.82) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.38 | (2.97) | 8.27 |
Sunrun Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sunrun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunrun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunrun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sunrun Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sunrun stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunrun Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunrun based on analysis of Sunrun hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunrun's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunrun's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0345 | 0.0307 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.16 | 1.1 |
Pair Trading with Sunrun
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sunrun position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sunrun will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Sunrun Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Sunrun could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Sunrun when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Sunrun - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Sunrun Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Sunrun is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Sunrun moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Sunrun Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Sunrun can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Sunrun Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Sunrun diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunrun. Anticipated expansion of Sunrun directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sunrun data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.957 | Earnings Share (10.89) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.349 | Return On Assets |
Sunrun Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Sunrun's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Sunrun's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Sunrun's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Sunrun's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Sunrun should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Sunrun's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.