South Plains Financial Stock Price Prediction
| SPFI Stock | USD 40.41 0.91 2.20% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.455 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8075 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.6675 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.07 | Wall Street Target Price 44.5 |
Using South Plains hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of South Plains Financial from the perspective of South Plains response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards South Plains using South Plains' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards South using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of South Plains' stock price.
South Plains Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
South Plains' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of South Plains Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if South Plains' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that South Plains stock will not fluctuate a lot when South Plains' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in South Plains to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying South because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
South Plains after-hype prediction price | USD 41.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current South contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that South Plains Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With South Plains trading at USD 40.41, that is roughly USD 0.0268 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating South Plains' daily price movement you should consider acquiring South Plains Financial options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out South Plains Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. South Plains After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of South Plains at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in South Plains or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of South Plains, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
South Plains Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting South Plains' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on South Plains' historical news coverage. South Plains' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.72 and 42.74, respectively. We have considered South Plains' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
South Plains is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of South Plains Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
South Plains Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as South Plains is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading South Plains backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with South Plains, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.55 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.41 | 41.23 | 0.22 |
|
South Plains Hype Timeline
South Plains Financial is at this time traded for 40.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. South is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 41.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on South Plains is about 4696.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.40. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. South Plains Financial last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out South Plains Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.South Plains Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to South Plains' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict South Plains' future price movements. Getting to know how South Plains' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how South Plains may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMBK | SmartFinancial | 0.31 | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.06 | 2.98 | (2.27) | 8.85 | |
| SMBC | Southern Missouri Bancorp | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.14 | 3.00 | (1.77) | 5.67 | |
| FCBC | First Community Bancshares | (0.52) | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.02 | 3.86 | (3.31) | 9.31 | |
| BCAL | Southern California Bancorp | 0.40 | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.06 | 2.27 | (1.97) | 7.59 | |
| BWB | Bridgewater Bancshares | (0.14) | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0 | 3.50 | (2.57) | 9.97 | |
| IBCP | Independent Bank | (0.31) | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.57 | (2.57) | 7.82 | |
| MCBS | MetroCity Bankshares | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.01 | 2.87 | (2.71) | 9.78 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | 0.14 | 11 per month | 1.78 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (2.34) | 14.35 | |
| THFF | First Financial | (0.17) | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.09 | 3.55 | (2.36) | 10.39 | |
| FISI | Financial Institutions | (0.13) | 32 per month | 0.88 | 0.12 | 3.61 | (1.89) | 12.81 |
South Plains Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine South price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for South using various technical indicators. When you analyze South charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About South Plains Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of South Plains stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as South Plains Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of South Plains based on analysis of South Plains hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to South Plains's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to South Plains's related companies. | 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0184 | 0.0268 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.91 | 1.55 |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Complementary Tools for South Stock analysis
When running South Plains' price analysis, check to measure South Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy South Plains is operating at the current time. Most of South Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of South Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move South Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of South Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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