South Plains Financial Stock Price Prediction

SPFI Stock  USD 38.85  0.17  0.44%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of South Plains' the stock price is under 64. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 28th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling South, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of South Plains' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with South Plains Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting South Plains' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.63
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6425
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.735
Wall Street Target Price
40.25
Using South Plains hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of South Plains Financial from the perspective of South Plains response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in South Plains to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying South because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

South Plains after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out South Plains Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9233.5542.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.9637.5940.23
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.9629.6332.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.640.670.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as South Plains. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against South Plains' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, South Plains' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in South Plains Financial.

South Plains After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of South Plains at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in South Plains or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of South Plains, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

South Plains Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting South Plains' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on South Plains' historical news coverage. South Plains' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.09 and 41.35, respectively. We have considered South Plains' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.85
38.72
After-hype Price
41.35
Upside
South Plains is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of South Plains Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

South Plains Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as South Plains is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading South Plains backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with South Plains, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.65
  0.12 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.85
38.72
0.33 
464.91  
Notes

South Plains Hype Timeline

South Plains Financial is at this time traded for 38.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. South is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on South Plains is about 4056.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.84. About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. South Plains Financial last dividend was issued on the 28th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out South Plains Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

South Plains Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to South Plains' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict South Plains' future price movements. Getting to know how South Plains' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how South Plains may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
SFBCSound Financial Bancorp 0.45 7 per month 1.24  0.04  3.30 (2.45) 11.33 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.59 8 per month 0.75  0.04  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services(0.12)9 per month 1.06  0.04  1.52 (1.16) 9.44 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.01)8 per month 1.12  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp(0.64)3 per month 1.53  0.05  4.78 (2.77) 11.90 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
MNSBMainstreet Bank(0.33)8 per month 2.00  0.04  2.89 (3.21) 19.63 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.29) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.00 7 per month 0.47  0.05  1.85 (1.22) 3.88 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
PBHCPathfinder Bancorp(0.27)6 per month 1.62  0.04  3.59 (2.49) 22.14 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.71  0.01  4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
BCALSouthern California Bancorp 0.16 5 per month 0.55  0.09  2.47 (1.35) 11.39 

South Plains Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine South price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for South using various technical indicators. When you analyze South charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About South Plains Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of South Plains stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as South Plains Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of South Plains based on analysis of South Plains hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to South Plains's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to South Plains's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01080.01680.01740.0279
Price To Sales Ratio2.282.232.381.72

Story Coverage note for South Plains

The number of cover stories for South Plains depends on current market conditions and South Plains' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that South Plains is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about South Plains' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

South Plains Short Properties

South Plains' future price predictability will typically decrease when South Plains' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of South Plains Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential South Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. South Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments685.6 M

Complementary Tools for South Stock analysis

When running South Plains' price analysis, check to measure South Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy South Plains is operating at the current time. Most of South Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of South Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move South Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of South Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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