Stagwell Stock Price Prediction
| STGW Stock | USD 6.53 0.21 3.32% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.592 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7667 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.84 | Wall Street Target Price 8.6563 |
Using Stagwell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stagwell from the perspective of Stagwell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stagwell using Stagwell's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stagwell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stagwell's stock price.
Stagwell Short Interest
An investor who is long Stagwell may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stagwell and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stagwell with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.79 | Short Percent 0.0532 | Short Ratio 8.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 7.153 |
Stagwell Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stagwell's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stagwell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stagwell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stagwell. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stagwell's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stagwell.
Stagwell Implied Volatility | 1.2 |
Stagwell's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stagwell stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stagwell's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stagwell stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stagwell's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stagwell to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stagwell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Stagwell after-hype prediction price | USD 6.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Stagwell |
Stagwell After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stagwell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stagwell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stagwell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stagwell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stagwell's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stagwell's historical news coverage. Stagwell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.21 and 8.85, respectively. We have considered Stagwell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stagwell is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stagwell is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stagwell Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stagwell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stagwell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stagwell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.53 | 6.53 | 0.00 |
|
Stagwell Hype Timeline
Stagwell is at this time traded for 6.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Stagwell is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stagwell is about 1382.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.51. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Stagwell was at this time reported as 2.59. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.98. Stagwell last dividend was issued on the 24th of August 2016. The entity had 3:2 split on the 29th of November 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Stagwell Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Stagwell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stagwell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stagwell's future price movements. Getting to know how Stagwell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stagwell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTV | Innovid Corp | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.57 | 0.1 | 5.35 | (4.97) | 88.33 | |
| IPG | Interpublic Group of | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.63 | (2.51) | 9.27 | |
| CMPR | Cimpress NV | (2.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.77 | (3.83) | 11.04 | |
| CRTO | Criteo Sa | 0.34 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.20 | (3.95) | 26.95 | |
| OMC | Omnicom Group | (0.60) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.92 | (2.46) | 13.14 | |
| IAS | Integral Ad Science | 0.17 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.26 | (4.02) | 23.54 | |
| DLX | Deluxe | (0.46) | 11 per month | 1.83 | 0.11 | 2.95 | (3.09) | 15.33 | |
| WPP | WPP PLC ADR | 0.25 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.79 | (2.71) | 10.51 | |
| EEX | Emerald Expositions Events | (0.04) | 9 per month | 2.76 | 0.06 | 3.95 | (3.56) | 16.08 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | 0.11 | 9 per month | 2.88 | 0.03 | 7.39 | (4.35) | 24.10 | |
| QNST | QuinStreet | 0.33 | 11 per month | 2.34 | 0.08 | 5.54 | (4.04) | 17.37 | |
| ADV | Advantage Solutions | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.65 | (5.17) | 21.91 |
Stagwell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stagwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stagwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stagwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Stagwell Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Stagwell stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stagwell, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stagwell based on analysis of Stagwell hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stagwell's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stagwell's related companies. | 2021 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.3 | 0.27 | 0.28 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.53 | 0.35 | 0.34 |
Story Coverage note for Stagwell
The number of cover stories for Stagwell depends on current market conditions and Stagwell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stagwell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stagwell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Stagwell Short Properties
Stagwell's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stagwell's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stagwell often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stagwell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stagwell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 122.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.7 M |
Additional Tools for Stagwell Stock Analysis
When running Stagwell's price analysis, check to measure Stagwell's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stagwell is operating at the current time. Most of Stagwell's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stagwell's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stagwell's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stagwell to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.