The Swatch Group Stock Price Prediction
| SWGAF Stock | USD 221.26 21.66 10.85% |
Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Swatch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Swatch Group from the perspective of Swatch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Swatch to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Swatch because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Swatch after-hype prediction price | USD 221.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Swatch |
Swatch After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Swatch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Swatch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Swatch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Swatch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Swatch's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Swatch's historical news coverage. Swatch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 218.24 and 224.28, respectively. We have considered Swatch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Swatch is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Swatch Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Swatch Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Swatch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Swatch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Swatch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 3.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
221.26 | 221.26 | 0.00 |
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Swatch Hype Timeline
Swatch Group is at this time traded for 221.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Swatch is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Swatch is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 221.26. About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.15. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Swatch Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.81. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.96. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2023. Swatch had 10:1 split on the 10th of August 2001. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Swatch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Swatch Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Swatch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Swatch's future price movements. Getting to know how Swatch's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Swatch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNDZF | Pandora AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HKTGF | Hikari Tsushin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.14 | |
| SNROF | Sanrio Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.66 | (6.52) | 21.48 | |
| ACRFF | Accor SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.06 | 3.11 | (2.11) | 15.97 | |
| SZHIF | Shenzhou International Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| POAHY | Porsche Automobile Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.16 | 2.51 | (1.66) | 7.26 | |
| RYKKF | Ryohin Keikaku Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AONNF | Aeon Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| POAHF | Porsche Automobil Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.10 | 3.79 | (3.11) | 11.86 | |
| PRDSY | Prada Spa PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.64 | (2.73) | 9.85 |
Swatch Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Swatch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swatch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swatch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Swatch Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Swatch stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Swatch Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Swatch based on analysis of Swatch hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Swatch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Swatch's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Swatch
The number of cover stories for Swatch depends on current market conditions and Swatch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Swatch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Swatch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Swatch Pink Sheet analysis
When running Swatch's price analysis, check to measure Swatch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swatch is operating at the current time. Most of Swatch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swatch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swatch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swatch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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