Webster Financial Stock Price Prediction
| WBS Stock | USD 62.82 1.06 1.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.1982 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6822 | Wall Street Target Price 62.6154 |
Using Webster Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Webster Financial from the perspective of Webster Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Webster Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Webster Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Webster. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Webster can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Webster Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Webster Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Webster Financial.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Webster Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Webster because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Webster Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 61.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Webster |
Webster Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Webster Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Webster Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Webster Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Webster Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Webster Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Webster Financial's historical news coverage. Webster Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.57 and 64.99, respectively. We have considered Webster Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Webster Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Webster Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Webster Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Webster Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Webster Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Webster Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 3.21 | 1.04 | 0.17 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.82 | 61.78 | 1.66 |
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Webster Financial Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Webster Financial is traded for 62.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Webster is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 61.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 163.78%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.66%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Webster Financial is about 1028.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.99. About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Webster Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 15th of April 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Webster Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Webster Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Webster Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Webster Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Webster Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Webster Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.08 | 2.39 | (2.01) | 10.60 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.59 | 11 per month | 1.49 | 0.10 | 3.62 | (2.89) | 20.65 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | 0.11 | 8 per month | 0.85 | 0.12 | 2.87 | (2.28) | 14.20 | |
| CMA | Comerica | 0.78 | 10 per month | 1.36 | 0.14 | 3.53 | (2.64) | 14.10 | |
| MTB | MT Bank | 0.34 | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.16 | 3.41 | (1.59) | 16.03 |
Webster Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Webster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Webster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Webster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Webster Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Webster Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Webster Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Webster Financial based on analysis of Webster Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Webster Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Webster Financial's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.033 | 0.0338 | 0.0341 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.21 | 3.49 | 2.5 |
Story Coverage note for Webster Financial
The number of cover stories for Webster Financial depends on current market conditions and Webster Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Webster Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Webster Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Webster Financial Short Properties
Webster Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Webster Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Webster Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Webster Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Webster Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Additional Tools for Webster Stock Analysis
When running Webster Financial's price analysis, check to measure Webster Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Webster Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Webster Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Webster Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Webster Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Webster Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.