Xpo Logistics Stock Price Prediction
| XPO Stock | USD 151.59 2.62 1.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
81
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.123 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.6187 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.4287 | Wall Street Target Price 146.3609 |
Using XPO Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XPO Logistics from the perspective of XPO Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
XPO Logistics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to XPO Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XPO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XPO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XPO Logistics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of XPO Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about XPO Logistics.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in XPO Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying XPO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
XPO Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 150.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
XPO |
XPO Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XPO Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XPO Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XPO Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XPO Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XPO Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XPO Logistics' historical news coverage. XPO Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.36 and 153.10, respectively. We have considered XPO Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XPO Logistics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XPO Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
XPO Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XPO Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XPO Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XPO Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.87 | 1.26 | 1.23 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
151.59 | 150.23 | 0.85 |
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XPO Logistics Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November XPO Logistics is traded for 151.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.23. XPO is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 150.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 91.4%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.85%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on XPO Logistics is about 92.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 150.36. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.74 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 192 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.62 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out XPO Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.XPO Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XPO Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XPO Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how XPO Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XPO Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KNX | Knight Transportation | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.70 | 0 | 3.55 | (2.98) | 11.16 | |
| SNDR | Schneider National | (0.65) | 7 per month | 1.08 | 0.09 | 2.40 | (1.69) | 6.88 | |
| HTLD | Heartland Express | (0.24) | 12 per month | 1.56 | (0.05) | 2.38 | (2.46) | 10.96 | |
| SAIA | Saia Inc | (31.89) | 10 per month | 2.17 | 0.12 | 5.11 | (4.04) | 17.45 | |
| ARCB | ArcBest Corp | 1.98 | 6 per month | 2.43 | (0.01) | 4.33 | (4.09) | 22.65 | |
| YELL | Yellow Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.85 | 0 | 21.13 | (19.19) | 74.60 | |
| WERN | Werner Enterprises | 1.61 | 10 per month | 1.34 | 0 | 2.80 | (2.37) | 10.67 | |
| MRTN | Marten Transport | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.42 | (2.57) | 11.37 | |
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight | (1.54) | 9 per month | 2.25 | 0.02 | 2.68 | (3.52) | 14.71 | |
| TFII | TFI International | (2.72) | 8 per month | 1.53 | (0.05) | 2.49 | (2.96) | 12.09 | |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdings | (0.57) | 8 per month | 2.50 | 0.09 | 4.82 | (2.97) | 17.47 |
XPO Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XPO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XPO using various technical indicators. When you analyze XPO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About XPO Logistics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of XPO Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as XPO Logistics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of XPO Logistics based on analysis of XPO Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to XPO Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to XPO Logistics's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001202 | 0.001142 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.31 | 1.38 |
Story Coverage note for XPO Logistics
The number of cover stories for XPO Logistics depends on current market conditions and XPO Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XPO Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XPO Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XPO Logistics Short Properties
XPO Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when XPO Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XPO Logistics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XPO Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XPO Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 412 M |
Check out XPO Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XPO Logistics. If investors know XPO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XPO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.123 | Earnings Share 3.08 | Revenue Per Share 69.741 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 | Return On Assets 0.0632 |
The market value of XPO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XPO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XPO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XPO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XPO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XPO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XPO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XPO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.