Fossil Group Stock Net Income
| FOSL Stock | USD 3.53 0.10 2.75% |
As of the 27th of January, Fossil shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 804.79, mean deviation of 4.25, and Downside Deviation of 4.88. Fossil Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Fossil Group variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Fossil Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 3.53 per share. Given that Fossil has jensen alpha of 0.4424, we urge you to verify Fossil Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Fossil Total Revenue |
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Gross Profit | Profit Margin | Market Capitalization | Enterprise Value Revenue 0.4132 | Revenue |
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Net Loss | -95.6 M | -90.9 M | |
| Net Loss | -39.7 M | -37.8 M | |
| Net Loss | -95.6 M | -90.9 M | |
| Net Loss | (2.23) | (2.12) | |
| Net Income Per E B T | 0.78 | 0.58 |
Fossil | Net Income | Build AI portfolio with Fossil Stock |
Latest Fossil's Net Income Growth Pattern
Below is the plot of the Net Income of Fossil Group over the last few years. Net income is one of the most important fundamental items in finance. It plays a large role in Fossil Group financial statement analysis. It represents the amount of money remaining after all of Fossil Group operating expenses, interest, taxes and preferred stock dividends have been deducted from a company total revenue. It is Fossil's Net Loss historical data analysis aims to capture in quantitative terms the overall pattern of either growth or decline in Fossil's overall financial position and show how it may be relating to other accounts over time.
| View | Last Reported (106.28 M) | 10 Years Trend |
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Net Income |
| Timeline |
Fossil Net Income Regression Statistics
| Arithmetic Mean | 36,187,494 | |
| Coefficient Of Variation | 624.50 | |
| Mean Deviation | 173,569,651 | |
| Median | (3,478,000) | |
| Standard Deviation | 225,990,554 | |
| Sample Variance | 51071.7T | |
| Range | 856.3M | |
| R-Value | (0.61) | |
| Mean Square Error | 34525.7T | |
| R-Squared | 0.37 | |
| Significance | 0.01 | |
| Slope | (27,082,909) | |
| Total Sum of Squares | 817147.7T |
Fossil Net Income History
Other Fundumenentals of Fossil Group
| Net Income Applicable To Common Shares | ||
| Net Income From Continuing Ops | ||
| Net Income Per Share | ||
| Net Income Per E B T |
Fossil Net Income component correlations
Fossil Net Income Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Fossil is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Fossil Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Net Income. Since Fossil's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Fossil's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Fossil's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Fossil 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fossil's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fossil.
| 10/29/2025 |
| 01/27/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fossil on October 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fossil Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fossil over 90 days. Fossil is related to or competes with Duluth Holdings, Kandi Technologies, Sleep Number, Plby, Vroom,, GrowGeneration Corp, and Clarus Corp. Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accesso... More
Fossil Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fossil's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fossil Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.88 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1093 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.05 |
Fossil Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fossil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fossil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fossil historical prices to predict the future Fossil's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0998 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4424 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1395 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1216 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2129 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fossil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fossil January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0998 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2229 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.51 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.88 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 804.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.42 | |||
| Variance | 29.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1093 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4424 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1395 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1216 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2129 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.19) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1894 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5657 |
Fossil Group Backtested Returns
Fossil is very risky given 3 months investment horizon. Fossil Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which denotes the company had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to interpolate and collect twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.02% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Fossil Downside Deviation of 4.88, coefficient of variation of 804.79, and Mean Deviation of 4.25 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Fossil holds a performance score of 14 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.12, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fossil will likely underperform. Use Fossil value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to analyze future returns on Fossil.
Auto-correlation | -0.01 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Fossil Group has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fossil time series from 29th of October 2025 to 13th of December 2025 and 13th of December 2025 to 27th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fossil Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Fossil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
| Competition |
Fossil Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income |
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Based on the recorded statements, Fossil Group reported net income of (106.28 Million). This is 120.81% lower than that of the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector and 296.44% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The net income for all United States stocks is 118.61% higher than that of the company.
Fossil Net Income Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Fossil's direct or indirect competition against its Net Income to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Fossil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fossil by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Fossil is currently under evaluation in net income category among its peers.
Fossil ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Fossil's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Fossil's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Fossil Institutional Holders
Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Fossil that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Fossil's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Fossil's value.| Shares | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 425.2 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2025-06-30 | 367.6 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 357.8 K | Fund 1 Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 270 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 223.4 K | Rbf Llc | 2025-06-30 | 209.1 K | State Street Corp | 2025-06-30 | 198.8 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 176.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 145.4 K | Nantahala Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 5.1 M | Patient Capital Management | 2025-06-30 | 3.5 M |
Fossil Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.39 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0221 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 440.55 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 53.79 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.60 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 49.90 % | |||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.54 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 21.04 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.77 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.19 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.14 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 604.08 M | |||
| EBITDA | (83.07 M) | |||
| Net Income | (106.28 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 162.61 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 3.14 X | |||
| Total Debt | 315.83 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.27 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.37 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.79 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 46.68 M | |||
| Short Ratio | 3.61 X | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.11) X | |||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (4.34) X | |||
| Target Price | 5.0 | |||
| Number Of Employees | 5.2 K | |||
| Beta | 1.64 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 112.95 M | |||
| Total Asset | 763.57 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (84.27 M) | |||
| Working Capital | 227.94 M | |||
| Current Asset | 269.52 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 106.24 M | |||
| Net Asset | 763.57 M |
About Fossil Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Fossil Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Fossil using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fossil Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Fossil Piotroski F Score and Fossil Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.